Financial markets
Can machine learning help predict recessions? Not really
Artificial intelligence models stumble on noisy data and lack of interpretability
Liquidity risk triples at Nasdaq in second quarter
Updated model extends time horizon to seven-plus days
UBS leapfrogs global peers following Credit Suisse takeover
Swiss lender reports big increases in RWAs, leverage exposures and other key metrics
We need to talk about pre-hedging
Dealers claim it’s a vital tool for managing risk. Clients say it’s open to abuse. How should regulators treat the problem child of financial markets?
Fleeting volatility vexes trend followers
Jumpy markets give quant firms the jitters as tried-and-tested strategies struggle in 2023
US banks’ stress-test projections stray further from Fed’s in 2023
Average gap between Fed- and bank-estimated depletions more than double from previous two DFASTs
Markets regulatory reporting system of the year: S&P Global Market Intelligence Cappitech
S&P Global Market Intelligence Cappitech has been awarded Markets regulatory reporting system of the year at the Risk Technology Awards 2023, highlighting the company’s commitment to meeting the industry’s needs in markets regulation
DFAST mortgage loss rate doubles 2022 figure
At $6.9bn, JP Morgan would bear brunt of losses, according to Fed projections
Five banks lowballed loan losses in latest DFAST
Banks project $23bn smaller hit to loan portfolios, with Wells Fargo and Citi the most off-target
Citi’s stress-test estimates out of sync with Fed’s
Bank lowballed capital hit in DFAST 2023 more than any other US systemic lender
Making banks investible again after this year’s turbulence
Following the failure of four US banks and the bail-in of Credit Suisse, panellists at Risk Live Europe discussed the market outlook and whether reform is needed
In DFAST, banks clear 4.5% minimum but breach all-in buffers
Forty-three percent of participants would have seen capital plans rejected under pre-2020 CCAR regime, up from 30% last year
Trading robots and financial markets trading solutions: the role of experimental economics
The authors investigate and summarize experimental studies on automated trading strategies in financial markets.
Unrealised losses down but not out in latest DFAST
Bank of America would emerge from Fed’s scenario with $22 billion net AOCI gain
D-day for the rates market: solving the outstanding issues in US Libor transition
The next months will determine how rates markets cope with the death of Libor. With transition efforts approaching D-day, experts discuss the issues facing the market, the progress made so far and the outstanding issues facing the ‘new look’ rates market…
Counting down to dollar Libor transition
In a Risk.net webinar, experts discussed the impact of market volatility on Libor transition, the availability of term SOFR, developments in non-linear markets and management of forthcoming CCP conversions
Stemming the tide of rising FX settlement risk
As the trading of emerging markets currencies gathers pace and broader uncertainty sweeps across financial markets, CLS is exploring alternative services designed to mitigate settlement risk for the FX market
An uphill climb to T+1 settlement
The SEC is pushing an aggressive schedule for faster settlement of equities and corporate bonds
Can algos collude? Quants are finding out
Oxford-Man Institute is among those asking: could algorithms gang up and squeeze customers?
FTX’s Mifid licence exposes Europe’s regulatory gaps
Could Cyprus have spotted the warning signs before handing FTX the keys to European customers?
GFMA mulls FX determinations committee
Creation of CDS-style board is one option on the table for managing forex market disruption events