Investments
Forecasting value-at-risk
Alvin Stroyny and Tim Wilding build a dynamic risk framework for multi-asset global portfolios
Beyond Markowitz with quantum annealing
Venturelli and Kondratyev use quantum annealers to optimise portfolios
Tying allocation to selection
Hamza Bahaji introduces a new approach to core-satellite investing, the compound portfolio insurance
Black was right: price is within a factor 2 of value
CFM’s quants verify Fisher Black’s intuition on mean reversion still applies today
Emerging market corporate bonds as first-to-default baskets
Modified Merton model offers insights on EM corporate debt
Curve dynamics with artificial neural networks
Artificial neural networks can replace PCA for yield curves analysis
Machine learning for trading
Gordon Ritter applies reinforcement learning to dynamic trading strategies with market impact
Trading lightly: cross-impact and optimal portfolio execution
A liquidity model for basket of correlated securities is presented
Stress hedging in portfolio construction
Bilgili, Ferconi and Ulitsky propose a constrained portfolio optimisation approach incorporating stress scenarios
Fast and precautious: order controls for trade execution
Algo traders propose a new optimal execution algorithm with both limit and market orders
Optimal trading with linear and (small) non-linear costs
Bouchaud et al find the optimal trading strategy for a family of predictive signals in the presence of transaction costs
Crunching mortality and life insurance portfolios with extended CreditRisk+
Jonas Hirz, Uwe Schmock and Pavel Shevchenko present a summary of actuarial applications of the extended CreditRisk+ model
Beat equal weighting: a strategy for portfolio optimisation
Yong (Jimmy) Jin and Lie Wang propose an estimation method for optimal portfolio weights under parameter uncertainty
Adjusting VAR to correct sample volatility bias
David Frank proposes an adjustment to sample variance for the computation of value-at-risk
Flylets and invariant risk metrics
Kharen Musaelian, Santhanam Nagarajan and Dario Villani show how to build robust risk metrics for bond returns
Stable linear-time optimisation in arbitrage pricing theory models
Gordon Ritter proposes a stable mean-variance optimisation for APT models
Deriving derivatives
Andrei Soklakov shows how to incorporate traditional investment ideas and clients’ views into structured product design
Risk management for whales
Rama Cont and Lakshithe Wagalath introduce a liquidation-adjusted VAR
Expected shortfall and VAR: cracking the marginal allocations
A new method to estimate marginal VAR and marginal ES is presented
Cleaning correlation matrices
Bun, Bouchaud and Potters present a technique that allow cleaning in-sample noise from correlation matrixes
Johnson-Omega performance measure
Alexander Passow presents a portfolio performance measure that combines the omega measure with Johnson distributions
Risk management for return enhancement
Lundin and Satchell present a non-linear asymmetric dependence method between two assets
Hedging error measurement for imperfect strategies
Jack Baczynski, Jonathan da Silva and Rosalino Junior present an index for measuring hedging errors
Isolating a risk premium on the volatility of volatility
Lorenzo Ravagli shows how to exploit a risk premium embedded in the vol of vol in out-of-the-money options