Investments
Spotting co-movement breakdowns with neural networks
Autoencoders can detect changes in relationship between assets in real time
Detecting changes in asset co-movement using autoencoders
ARR aims to anticipate volatility patterns to provide signals for risk management and trading
A closed-form solution for optimal mean-reverting strategies
The heat potentials method is used to find the optimal profit-taking and stop-loss levels
Stay ahead of the fixing lag
The price of fund-linked derivatives depends on the fixing lag of the underlying funds
A triptych approach for reverse stress testing of complex portfolios
Pascal Traccucci et al present an extended reverse stress test triptych approach with three variables
Forecasting value-at-risk
Alvin Stroyny and Tim Wilding build a dynamic risk framework for multi-asset global portfolios
Beyond Markowitz with quantum annealing
Venturelli and Kondratyev use quantum annealers to optimise portfolios
Tying allocation to selection
Hamza Bahaji introduces a new approach to core-satellite investing, the compound portfolio insurance
Black was right: price is within a factor 2 of value
CFM’s quants verify Fisher Black’s intuition on mean reversion still applies today
Emerging market corporate bonds as first-to-default baskets
Modified Merton model offers insights on EM corporate debt
Curve dynamics with artificial neural networks
Artificial neural networks can replace PCA for yield curves analysis
Machine learning for trading
Gordon Ritter applies reinforcement learning to dynamic trading strategies with market impact
Trading lightly: cross-impact and optimal portfolio execution
A liquidity model for basket of correlated securities is presented
Stress hedging in portfolio construction
Bilgili, Ferconi and Ulitsky propose a constrained portfolio optimisation approach incorporating stress scenarios
Fast and precautious: order controls for trade execution
Algo traders propose a new optimal execution algorithm with both limit and market orders
Optimal trading with linear and (small) non-linear costs
Bouchaud et al find the optimal trading strategy for a family of predictive signals in the presence of transaction costs
Crunching mortality and life insurance portfolios with extended CreditRisk+
Jonas Hirz, Uwe Schmock and Pavel Shevchenko present a summary of actuarial applications of the extended CreditRisk+ model
Beat equal weighting: a strategy for portfolio optimisation
Yong (Jimmy) Jin and Lie Wang propose an estimation method for optimal portfolio weights under parameter uncertainty
Adjusting VAR to correct sample volatility bias
David Frank proposes an adjustment to sample variance for the computation of value-at-risk
Flylets and invariant risk metrics
Kharen Musaelian, Santhanam Nagarajan and Dario Villani show how to build robust risk metrics for bond returns
Stable linear-time optimisation in arbitrage pricing theory models
Gordon Ritter proposes a stable mean-variance optimisation for APT models
Deriving derivatives
Andrei Soklakov shows how to incorporate traditional investment ideas and clients’ views into structured product design
Risk management for whales
Rama Cont and Lakshithe Wagalath introduce a liquidation-adjusted VAR
Expected shortfall and VAR: cracking the marginal allocations
A new method to estimate marginal VAR and marginal ES is presented