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Yen rates losses from tariff volatility top $1 billion
Pay fixed, curve flattener and vol steepener positions were hit hard as yields swung wildly
BoE plans to link system-wide and individual stress tests
Meanwhile, ECB wants to broaden system-wide stress models to include central counterparties
Cyber insurance costs expected to rise as loss ratios worsen
Recent ransomware and tech failure events could feed through into higher premiums this year
Risk data
Fed’s proposed SCB tweak would free $20bn of capital at US banks
Averaging of stress test-based inputs over two years would reduce current add-ons by up to 60bp
People: Balaÿ is new broom at CA CIB, Ungari swaps QIS roles at SG
Latest job changes across the industry
Sometimes, when we pick a Lifetime Achievement winner…
…we catch them at the pinnacle of their career. And sometimes, we don’t. Here’s what Canada’s new PM had to say about the overlap between politics and central banking when we spoke to him in 2022.
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Tariff turmoil
Inside the week that shook the US Treasury market
Rates traders on the “scary” moves that almost broke the world’s safest and most liquid investment
Trump tariffs turn swap spreads into ‘pain trade’
Hedge funds bet big on Treasuries to outperform swaps. The opposite happened.
EU firms fear dollar liquidity becoming tariff bargaining chip
Eurozone banks rely on dollars for 17% of funding; trade war escalation could affect access
Trump tariffs sent FX options traders on a wild ride
As US assets sold off, dealers found themselves on the front lines of a hedging scramble
Amid tariff turmoil, banks warned not to fudge IFRS 9 overlays
Flip-flopping US policies challenge loan loss provisioning models; EU regulators take watching brief
Asia’s bond investors hesitant to buy US dip, say dealers
Insurers and pension funds have been slower to step in than usual during sell-off
Treasury selloff challenges back-office systems, data feeds
FIS and Trading Technologies suffered downtime during peak activity
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
Fed’s proposed SCB tweak would free $20bn of capital at US banks
Averaging of stress test-based inputs over two years would reduce current add-ons by up to 60bp
Counterparty Radar
Matchmaking and benchmarking for OTC derivatives
Counterparty Radar is based on position data from around 20,000 US mutual funds and ETFs, rolled up to the manager level – it shows the OTC derivatives they have on their books, and who they traded them with, providing unique insights into an important market segment. More info
Europe’s Ucits funds: Made in the USA
Counterparty Radar: EU retail funds market is a prime example of Trump’s miscalculation on trade
Regulation
Repo clearing rule could raise SOFR volatility – OFR analysts
Analysis of 2022 data finds large divergence in tail rates but no change in median
European Commission changes tune on proposed FRTB multiplier
Banks fear departure from original diversification factor undermines case for permanent relief
CFTC takes red pen to swaps rules, but don’t call it a rollback
Lawyers and ex-regs say agency is fine-tuning and clarifying regulations, not eliminating them
EU edges closer to calming FRTB fund-linked fray
Dealers say temporary solution is a step in the right direction but won’t fully resolve all issues
The end of the world, or an artificial crisis?
Bimodal tariff threat leaves investors grappling with uncertainty
Technology
DeepSeek success spurs banks to consider do-it-yourself AI
Chinese LLM resets price tag for in-house systems – and could also nudge banks towards open-source models
OCC’s security chief on generative AI with guardrails
Clearing house looks to scale technology across risk and data operations – but safety is still the watchword
Inside the company that helped build China’s equity options market
Fintech firm Bachelier Technology on the challenges of creating a trading platform for China’s unique OTC derivatives market
For AI’s magic hammer, every problem becomes a nail
Risk.net survey finds banks embracing a twin-track approach to AI in the front office: productivity tools today; transformation tomorrow
Op risk benchmarking
Our new research service compares op risk practices at financial institutions – from staffing to AI safeguards, key controls to board reporting packs.
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