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Tariff turmoil
Trump tariffs turn swap spreads into ‘pain trade’
Hedge funds bet big on Treasuries to outperform swaps. The opposite happened.
Trump tariffs sent FX options traders on a wild ride
As US assets sold off, dealers found themselves on the front lines of a hedging scramble
Amid tariff turmoil, banks warned not to fudge IFRS 9 overlays
Flip-flopping US policies challenge loan loss provisioning models; EU regulators take watching brief
Asia’s bond investors hesitant to buy US dip, say dealers
Insurers and pension funds have been slower to step in than usual during sell-off
Treasury selloff challenges back-office systems, data feeds
FIS and Trading Technologies suffered downtime during peak activity
Patience pays off for XVA desks in wild week of tariff swings
Dealers avoided knee-jerk reactions that could have caused credit spreads to widen further
How Trump’s trade talks may play out
SSGA’s chief geopolitical strategist on which tariffs stay in place and who blinks first in negotiations
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
One year on, EU banks get greener as GARs grow
Contentious green asset disclosures show improvements for most major European banks in 2024
Counterparty Radar
Matchmaking and benchmarking for OTC derivatives
Counterparty Radar is based on position data from around 20,000 US mutual funds and ETFs, rolled up to the manager level – it shows the OTC derivatives they have on their books, and who they traded them with, providing unique insights into an important market segment. More info
Europe’s Ucits funds: Made in the USA
Counterparty Radar: EU retail funds market is a prime example of Trump’s miscalculation on trade
Regulation
European Commission changes tune on proposed FRTB multiplier
Banks fear departure from original diversification factor undermines case for permanent relief
Bowman won’t commit to stress-testing the tariff shock
Nominated Fed vice-chair stonewalls calls to run ad hoc scenario similar to 2020 Covid test
Fed’s Bowman to ‘prioritise’ SLR exemption for US Treasuries
Reinstating Covid-era relief is a ‘no brainer’, dealers say, as bond markets reel from tariff chaos
Trading desks want regulators to face down the NMRF monster
Rule-makers in Australia and the European Union are open to changes to the unpopular FRTB test
Technology
DeepSeek success spurs banks to consider do-it-yourself AI
Chinese LLM resets price tag for in-house systems – and could also nudge banks towards open-source models
Inside the company that helped build China’s equity options market
Fintech firm Bachelier Technology on the challenges of creating a trading platform for China’s unique OTC derivatives market
For AI’s magic hammer, every problem becomes a nail
Risk.net survey finds banks embracing a twin-track approach to AI in the front office: productivity tools today; transformation tomorrow
Why AI will never predict financial markets
Laws that govern swings in asset prices are beyond statistical grasp of machine learning technology, argues academic Daniel Bloch
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