Prediction markets
Liquidity on Kalshi, Polymarket ‘too thin’ for institutional use
Patchy trade flows cause outsize market impact for financial events, research from Risk.net shows
Prediction markets can be a canary in the coal mine
Prices of contracts on the likes of Polymarket can act as signals for risk management and hedging, says risk expert
How Optiver is harnessing prediction markets
Isda AGM: Market-maker doesn’t trade event contracts, but it is using them to price other instruments
Don’t mention the rules: the fight against prediction market abuse
For the CFTC to regulate new venues effectively, it must first redefine insider trading
CFTC wants to regulate prediction markets. Is it up to the task?
Former officials echo state gambling authorities’ concerns over agency’s ability to police betting risks
Main Street to Wall Street: Kalshi’s bid to go beyond sports bets
Institutional head Andy Ross’s strategy for drawing in investors and charging for ‘wisdom-of-crowds’
Ice’s Sprecher: institutional prediction bets ‘a matter of time’
Longer-term vision for ‘niche’ energy event contracts may be aided by recent Polymarket tie-up
Could prediction markets go wholesale? Exchanges think so
Some venues are exploring demand for institution-focused product; others say wholesale users can play in retail space