Our take
Roll over, SRTs: Regulators fret over capital relief trades
Banks will have to balance the appeal of capital relief against the risk of a market shutdown
The AI explainability barrier is lowering
Improved and accessible tools can quickly make sense of complex models
Do BIS volumes soar past the trend?
FX market ADV has surged to $9.6 trillion in the latest triennial survey, but are these figures representative?
DFAST monoculture is its own test
Drop in frequency and scope of stress test disclosures makes it hard to monitor bank mimicry of Fed models
Lightening the RWA load in securitisations
Credit Agricole quants propose new method for achieving capital neutrality
How much do investors really care about Fed independence?
The answer for some is more nuanced than you might think
Why know-it-all LLMs make second-rate forecasters
A bevy of experiments suggests LLMs are ill-suited for time-series forecasting
Trump’s FX impact: a tale of two terms
Traders say Trump version 2.0 is already proving a much trickier task to manage than the original, and have had to adapt
Turn of the skew: FX options dealers balance fragile market
Calls-versus-puts demand flips wildly in response to geopolitical events
Libor appeals leave future misconduct cases Hayes-y
UK authorities must develop a more effective framework for punishing bad bankers
Was a big US bank close to collapse in 2023?
PNC’s Bill Demchak says it was. And the data suggests he was talking about BofA
Lessons from chaos theory on Trump tariff bottlenecks
Forecasting the ripple effects of trade policies presents a special challenge
Sebi unravels Jane Street’s ‘sinister’ trades
US trading firm barred from Indian securities market after “disregarding” February warnings
US banks’ VAR shortfalls are wrapped in a black box
Public disclosures only allow crude approximations of loss size and timing
The VAR-centric models that never were
Often spotlighted, rarely dominant – VAR plays a surprisingly small role in most IMA stacks
A mix of Gaussian distributions can beat GenAI at its own game
Synthetic data is seen as the preserve of AI models. A new paper shows old methods still have legs
Bunds’ hedging role for euro swaps still in question
Dealers seek ultimate hedge for euro swaps amid EGB rush following Trump tariffs
Why EU banks have snubbed revised green finance metric
Banks steer clear of Banking Book Taxonomy Alignment Ratio in droves
Banks seek to advance predictive pricing models
AI and machine learning-based tools could give FX desks the power to forecast currency movements
Getting a handle on model parameters
Mean reversion in rate parameters opens the door to dimensionality reduction
The case for believing in a Bessent put
Money market funds could prove critical in efforts to control 10-year yields