Our take
Lessons from chaos theory on Trump tariff bottlenecks
Forecasting the ripple effects of trade policies presents a special challenge
A mix of Gaussian distributions can beat GenAI at its own game
Synthetic data is seen as the preserve of AI models. A new paper shows old methods still have legs
Bunds’ hedging role for euro swaps still in question
Dealers seek ultimate hedge for euro swaps amid EGB rush following Trump tariffs
Why EU banks have snubbed revised green finance metric
Banks steer clear of Banking Book Taxonomy Alignment Ratio in droves
Banks seek to advance predictive pricing models
AI and machine learning-based tools could give FX desks the power to forecast currency movements
Getting a handle on model parameters
Mean reversion in rate parameters opens the door to dimensionality reduction
The case for believing in a Bessent put
Money market funds could prove critical in efforts to control 10-year yields
FRTB may bite harder for Europe’s CVA modellers
Farther reach of advanced approach and lighter load on total requirements mean limited takeaways from Canada and Japan’s implementation
Japan, Basel III and the pitfalls of being on time
Capital floor phase-in delay may be least-worst option for JFSA as US and Europe waver