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Don’t mention the rules: the fight against prediction market abuse

For the CFTC to regulate new venues effectively, it must first redefine insider trading

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Tarek Mansour and Luana Lopes Lara, the twentysomething co-founders of a start-up called Kalshi, walked into the Washington offices of the Division of Market Oversight at the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission in 2020. They were looking to get Kalshi licensed as an exchange – a designated contract market (DCM) in CFTC legal parlance. At the time, prediction markets were still an emerging

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