Interest rates
CME futures outage caused FX spot pricing problems
At least one non-bank was forced to pull prices, and NDFs also affected
Japan Post’s HTM markdowns grow 21% in Q3
Markdowns on securities hit record ¥2.7trn
Crypto ETFs gatecrash the US Treasury repo market
Counterparty Radar: Volatility Shares tapped $13 billion in repo funding in Q2
Bond investors diverge on AI’s rates impact
While many agree the technology will drive growth, questions remain over the timing and inflationary impact
How EU supervisors react to interest rate risk outliers
Banks have faced no automatic penalties for breaching new NII test, but do come under microscope
US banks’ cash holdings jump $79 billion in Q2
Cash reserves up 4%, in biggest rise since 2023
Hedge funds keep a toe in HKD carry trade despite rate rise
Positioning is currently a fifth of what it was in April, say dealers
Morgan Stanley sees the elephants in the room
Talking Heads 2025: Hedge fund crowding means macro markets have fatter tails, argues fixed income co-head Jakob Horder
The ‘get-out-of-debt’ card that may worry bond investors
A new paper analyses the controversial tool that governments may be forced to deploy to control borrowing costs
EU banks fear tumbling rates will upset their IRRBB balance
As rates decline, hedging two separate tests of vulnerability becomes more difficult
UBS sterling rates head joins RBC Capital Markets
Ian Hale joins the Canadian bank as head of European inflation trading
Political turmoil rattles Turkish lira carry trade
Echoes of March crackdown that sparked market rout leave traders on alert
Rates investors unmoved by stories of AI bliss, or doom
Research shows downward moves in US Treasury yields around generative AI model releases
Some European banks still failing net interest income test
Swedbank joins seven other outliers after it updates methodology assumptions
No progress on US banks’ EVE transparency in H1
Less than half of banks analysed disclose figures for key measure of long-term interest rate sensitivity
Sharper economic picture sets scene for dollar swaps rebound
Razor-thin bid/offer spreads and slim post-April trading volumes give way to an uptick in August
Brevan Howard: life beyond macro
Talking Heads 2025: Wider range of strategies helped firm rebound from 2018 low – but brought re-correlation risks
Barclays braces for a macro storm
Talking Heads 2025: Developed markets are racking up debt. Finding buyers could be difficult, says macro head Hossein Zaimi
BNPP, Deutsche among EU banks hit by VAR breaches in April
Sharpest rise in backtesting exceptions since 2022 Ukraine war shock largely linked to tariff chaos
JPM piles into Treasuries with record $72bn AFS surge
Portfolio reshaped with shift to medium-term maturities as Q2 glut boosts holdings to all-time high
As Fed meets, hedge funds buy ‘lottery’ FX options trades
Options bets reflect cautious pessimism over the dollar ahead of Jackson Hole conference