Inflation scenarios, pt II: end of the party

Whether inflation rises or falls, crowdsourced scenarios forecast huge range of outcomes

This article forms part of’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises, and the second to focus on inflation. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.

“In the 1970s, the dilemma for central banks was whether to kill inflation, or have growth with inflation,” observes veteran quant Alexander Denev, founder of inflation boutique Turnleaf Analytics. “They decided to kill inflation and kill growth. That was a conscious policy for a year or more.”

Seven months out from

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