Inflation scenarios, pt II: end of the party
Whether inflation rises or falls, crowdsourced scenarios forecast huge range of outcomes
This article forms part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises, and the second to focus on inflation. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.
“In the 1970s, the dilemma for central banks was whether to kill inflation, or have growth with inflation,” observes veteran quant Alexander Denev, founder of inflation boutique Turnleaf Analytics. “They decided to kill inflation and kill growth. That was a conscious policy for a year or more.”
Seven months out from
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Printing this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. Copying this content is for the sole use of the Authorised User (named subscriber), as outlined in our terms and conditions - https://www.infopro-insight.com/terms-conditions/insight-subscriptions/
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
Risk Awards 2023: The winners
BNP Paribas takes top derivatives prize, lifetime award for Stephen Kealhofer, Nomura wins rates
Markets Technology Awards 2023: This year’s model
Vendors are offering greater modelling flexibility. What if that’s not enough?
Op risk data: Wells Fargo walloped to the tune of $1.7bn
Also: AML breaches at Danske and Santander; Russia’s Radiotechbank scammed. Data by ORX News
Court allows lawsuit against Credit Suisse to proceed
Shareholder alleges board and senior execs breached fiduciary duties by failing to oversee risk
NSCC and OCC to enhance co-operation on large cash calls
New deal would improve management of options expiries, but will stop short of cross-margining
Capitolis registers swap dealer in strategy refresh
Vendor’s SBSD registration may facilitate unique multi-seller platform for equity swap business
LME model quirk saved members $915m nickel margin
Report on March 2022 blow-up says CCP may need to “intervene” on deduction of VM gains from IM
Financial firms rethink after cyber insurance premium spike
Brokers say there are signs pressure is easing, but quantum hacking threat could transform market
