Inflation scenarios, pt II: end of the party
Whether inflation rises or falls, crowdsourced scenarios forecast huge range of outcomes
This article forms part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises, and the second to focus on inflation. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.
“In the 1970s, the dilemma for central banks was whether to kill inflation, or have growth with inflation,” observes veteran quant Alexander Denev, founder of inflation boutique Turnleaf Analytics. “They decided to kill
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
Can behavioural science curb rogue traders… and compliance costs?
Instead of using surveillance to catch endless bad apples, experts urge banks to clean the barrel
Former regulator urges new approach to AI explainability
Ex-OCC chief Michael Hsu suggests shift from academic analysis to decision-based techniques
Asic probe piles pressure on ASX to deliver Chess replacement
But market insiders think late intervention by regulators could even slow down implementation
Derivatives players divided over 24/7 trading
For some, round-the-clock markets are inevitable. Others see “enormous risks”
Hong Kong watchdog taps GenAI to monitor shadow banking risk
News headlines, social media and bank earnings calls all followed using in-house tools
From fragmented signals to confident credit decisions
Credit Benchmark and Oliver Wyman explore how aggregated bank data and advanced analytics are helping risk teams make confident, forward-looking credit decisions
FICC’s Klimpel on ironing out the kinks in UST clearing
Focus shifts to margin efficiency and capital treatment of cleared trades
Numerix strikes Hundsun deal as China pushes domestic tech
Homegrown tech initiative – ‘Xinchuang’ – a new challenge for foreign vendors
