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Dealer views mixed over future of profitable EM FX carry trade

Emerging market FX carry trades have generated 7.5% returns since April, but dealers question longevity

Dollar and peso

If the first half of 2025’s currency markets were characterised by record-breaking months of volumes and volatility, the back half of the year has been defined by a range-bound US dollar, promoting an environment for carry trades in emerging markets (EM), particularly in Latin America, to take off.

Positioning in these strategies normally builds when there is a sustained period of very low

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