US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested

Crowd-sourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results

This is the third in Risk.net’s series of crowd-sourced scenario generation exercises. You can view the results of the first and second surveys here.

It’s Monday, November 9, a week after the polls have closed on the most divisive US election in living memory. With all votes counted – and recounted multiple times in the largest swing states – Joe Biden has won. But Donald Trump says he’s going nowhere, calling fraud on the postal votes that swung the key states Biden’s way, and is unleashing a