Decomposing supply shocks in the US electricity industry: evidence from a time-varying Bayesian panel vector autoregression model
This paper investigates spillovers between electricity supply shocks and US growth, using monthly data from forty-eight US states from January 2001 to September 2016, and employs a novel strategy for electricity supply shocks based on a time-varying…
Second crowd-sourced scenario exercise reveals polarised views in equities and FX
Pioneer of agent-based models warns of virus resurgence akin to 1918 Spanish flu
As swaps leverage shrinks, bankruptcy stay rules are not guaranteed to reduce systemic risk, says economist
Quant fund pioneer plans to build an economic super-simulator on a global scale
As pandemic trashes historical data, a Risk.net tie-up with Ron Dembo’s new outfit tests promise of polling
Regulators consider banks’ internal capital adequacy and assessment process (ICAAP) and internal liquidity adequacy assessment process (ILAAP) important tools in managing risk. The European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) updated guidance – which came into effect…
As the next phases of uncleared margin rules come into force, there will be an economic driver for more clearing of FX. By Phil Hermon, Executive Director of FX Products at CME Group
As uncertainty abounds on the impact climate change may have on the industry, financial services firms must best equip themselves for potential regulatory and socioeconomic changes to ensure they maximise the opportunities of embracing new best practices…
What lies ahead for investment managers
In its latest margin survey, the International Swaps and Derivatives Association reported that initial margin (IM) collected by the top 20 firms increased by 22% to $130.6 billion at the end of 2017. As new transactions become subject to IM requirements,…
A comprehensive review of a firm’s GRC framework can deliver enhanced reporting and transparency, increasing the pace of innovation and adoption
A forum of industry leaders discusses how banks will define individual trading desks under FRTB, whether BCBS 239 compliance projects can help banks meet FRTB risk data challenges, which model validation obstacles banks still face and other key topics
Amid widespread expectation that Libor will soon be discontinued, questions are being asked around whether the transitioning towards risk-free rates will prove too onerous to achieve. Christopher Dias, principal, advisory, at KPMG, explores whether the…
This paper surveys the use of networks and network-based methods to study economy- related questions.
Monetary policy and bank regulations contribute to widening US wealth gap
Flawed and inconsistent mainstream macroeconomic theories such as efficient market hypothesis are dangerous to society, says Alexander Lipton
A contrarian, upbeat view of the long-term economic outlook
Top hedge fund managers at the Salt conference in Las Vegas are brimming with enthusiasm for Japanese equities as Abeconomics helps weaken the yen and boost economic growth
Geopolitical factors continue to impact markets
Crispin Odey, winner of the outstanding contribution to the industry award at the 12th European Single Manager Awards 2012, talks about hedge funds, performance, regulation and politicians.
Monetary and capital markets deputy director Christopher Towe tells conference delegates that ongoing vulnerabilities could sow the seeds of the next crisis
Efforts by Western regulators to monitor financial institutions are nonsensical and overambitious according to Jim O'Neill. He said emerging markets are the future of global economic growth.