Covid scenarios, pt II: apocalypse how?

Second crowdsourced scenario exercise reveals polarised views in equities and FX

This is the second in’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises. To see the results of the first, please click here. To join the polling for the third, click here.

Jump to: Results | Backtest | Scenarios

Financial markets have been living with Covid-19 for a little over six months, giving participants some time to get to grips with the impact and implications of the disease – but, over that period, their predictions have become more polarised, rather than less.

That is

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