Modelling
Two quants use options pricing tools to model Covid-19
New tool aims to gauge wider cost of virus control measures
A new dynamic hedging model with futures
This paper proposes a new econometric model for the estimation of optimal hedge ratios (HRs): the Kalman filter error-correction model (KF–ECM).
To model the real world, quants turn to synthetic data
Future financial models will be built using artificially generated data
CME was ill-prepared for negative oil prices, FCMs say
Bourse draws criticism over timing of options model change; delay in sending key margin file
FRTB comes too late for Covid crisis
Expected shortfall would stop Basel 2.5 duplicate capital charges, but backtesting still a problem
Quants pitch in to improve pandemic models
The finance industry’s quants are trying their hand at modelling the virus and its economic impact
Covid-19 tumult is testing AI fund returns
Some ML strategies have coped well, but others began to struggle as panic mounted
Counterparty credit risk – Why data is only valuable in context
Paul Whitmore, global head of counterparty risk solutions at Fitch Solutions, explains how qualitative data can add colour and insight to quantitative metrics for assessing the creditworthiness of counterparty banks
Implementing Basel IV in Asia-Pacific – Mapping out the next steps
This webinar explores the current pain points and provides insights on Basel IV implementation in Apac, addressing the most common challenges and what it takes to transform to a Basel IV-compliant financial institution
Quants warn on credit risk in stocks
Conventional models may be missing explosion in novel exposure
Current expected credit loss procyclicality: it depends on the model
This work looks at a wide range of models to test the degree to which CECL is procyclical for different types of model.
As Covid snaps credit models, lenders turn to stress-testing
Banks enlist scenario analysis to bolster creaking default models
Energy Risk Software Rankings: A different world
Energy Risk’s Software Rankings reveal the industry’s technology preferences in a changing world
Covid transparency would soothe markets – Harvey
“Why aren’t our policy-makers sharing their models?” asks Duke University economist
Operational uncertainty – An unavoidable challenge
The transition from Libor to a new risk-free rate has revealed a number of challenges for all financial markets participants – the nature and scope of what lies ahead is vast, impacting businesses, operations and support functions. KPMG‘s global Libor…
Coronavirus rout revives attacks on futures margining
FCMs call for permanently higher margins following “unprecedented” number of breaches
Lighting up the black box: a must for investors?
Many contend you must be able to interpret machine learning in order to use it
At Numerai, real-world figures need not apply
AI hedge fund CEO sees the light in black-box technology
Funds try to predict behaviour of mystery investors
New EU rules on liquidity stress-testing force fund managers to hunt out clues on investors
Oil price shock triggers big margin calls
Banks and exchanges worked through weekend in anticipation of oil collapse
ICAAP/ILAAP – Unlocking business value from capital and liquidity assessment
Regulators consider banks’ internal capital adequacy and assessment process (ICAAP) and internal liquidity adequacy assessment process (ILAAP) important tools in managing risk. The European Central Bank’s (ECB’s) updated guidance – which came into effect…
Caveat pre-emptor: Man ESG chief talks snubbed markets
Robert Furdak is sparking discussions about responsible trend following in unsustainable stocks
Fuzzy data stalls ESG alpha hunt
Quants searching for ESG signals have reached very different conclusions. Mostly they blame the data
CECL models may leave banks ill-prepared for next downturn
Mortgage backtest study shows some loan-loss models miss the mark