United States
Morgan Stanley, Goldman to benefit most from TLAC and LTD reform
Fed’s eSLR overhaul slashes requirements for large US banks, ushering in lighter capital demands
Softer DFAST market shock favours Goldman but confounds comparability
Tweak to trading book test reveals widening gap between bank and Fed loss forecasts
JPM, Wells Fargo would net record AOCI windfalls in severe recession
Latest DFAST projects $58bn AOCI rebound on aggregate, with two banks driving over 60% of the recovery
JP Morgan’s loan losses loom ever-larger in Fed stress test
$90 billion in projected markdowns accounts for almost a fifth of total across 22 banks
US banks’ VAR shortfalls are wrapped in a black box
Public disclosures only allow crude approximations of loss size and timing
Seven banks fall short of full capital buffers in DFAST 2025
DB USA posts largest gap, with four G-Sibs also dipping below their full requirements
FCM swaps margin climbs to record $173bn
Barclays, Bank of America and Royal Bank of Canada post all-time highs
People: Rustad to head SwapClear, Kimmel exits Citadel, and more
Latest job changes across the industry
US G-Sibs set to reclaim $6.6trn in leverage room under eSLR reform
Replacement of fixed 2% buffer with variable add-on could cut requirements by up to 150bp
NY Fed’s push for repo haircuts gets a tepid response
New risk management standards could make it harder to finance US Treasury purchases
Hedge funds scale back steepener positions as risks rise
Uncertainties around US Treasury issuance and timing of rate cuts see investors trim ‘consensus’ trade
US G-Sibs’ non-bank assets surpass $6trn for first time
After plateauing for years, non-bank asset shares surged in 2024, led by Citi and JPM
High leverage in US REITs raises red flags, says FSB
Non-bank CRE investors at risk from falling prices and refinancing crunch
Brain drain at OCC raises concerns about US model supervision
Quant team cull will reduce capacity to validate bank models, but that could be part of the plan
For variation margin payments, cash is no longer king
Dealers are being pressed to accept corporate bonds and even equities as collateral for non-cleared trades
Global OTC derivatives jump €72trn in 2024
Europe, UK, Canada and China hit record highs, while US banks pull back
The VAR-centric models that never were
Often spotlighted, rarely dominant – VAR plays a surprisingly small role in most IMA stacks
Deutsche Bank casts a cautious eye towards agentic AI
Risk Live: “An AI worker is something that is really buildable,” says innovation and AI head
OCC payment obligations hit record in Q1
Liquid resources up 6.5% as liquidity risk grows to new highs
BoE official plays down fears of global regulatory fragmentation
Risk Live: UK expects close co-operation with US, while others express concern over Basel III endgame
Ice: EU regulation simplification not happening in practice
Ice Clear Europe president says excessive EU checks distract firms from addressing real financial risk
Trump getting stuck in Washington ‘swamp’, says Scaramucci
Risk Live: Former White House comms director says lobbyists have become effective constraint on Trump agenda
DRW’s Wilson: regulatory confusion hinders euro stablecoins
Conflicting interpretations of EU rules will divert more capital to USD coins and away from euro assets, says Don Wilson
US Basel III delay to 2026 seen as almost inevitable
Reprioritisation and leadership changes cast doubts on timing of new proposals