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Basel III Endgame
FRTB models find salvation in US Basel III proposal
Changes to P&L attribution test and NMRFs make IMA viable for US banks, risk managers say
Limited RWA gains support rethink on Fed output floor
Advanced approaches cut RWAs only marginally across US banks
US blows the floors off Basel III
Barr criticises “downward deviations” in US rule; Bowman rejects “blind adherence” to global standards
AOCI reinclusion would strip $49.5bn from US bank capital
Schwab, Ally and Fifth Third face largest CET1 hits under Fed Basel III endgame proposal
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
CCP default funds grew to record size ahead of Iran war
End-2025 figures show widespread increases in prefunded resources
Risk Benchmarking
Top 10 op risks 2026: Cyber stays top, AI risk enters at fifth
Third-party and outsourcing risk climbs to third; fraud and fincrime edge out geopolitical risk
Middle East crisis
EU can handle energy price pressure – it’s been here before
Reforms made after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have made region more resilient to energy shocks, officials say
Hedge funds retreat to sidelines in euro steepeners
Rate hike repricing and stop-losses have gutted positioning in once-dominant 10s30s bet
What futures and options say about the cost of war
Spot prices reveal major disruption, futures indicate this will pass, options imply ongoing instability
Inflation shock upends Aussie dollar rates flatteners
Hedge funds’ front-end curve trades stopped out as Iran conflict drove RBA terminal rate pricing higher
Artificial intelligence
Iosco chief talks cyber, AI and clearing
Buenaventura discusses Iosco’s role in aiding market resilience and cross-border co-operation
New LLMs are proving to be surprisingly good quants
Strides in AI’s ability to do maths mean models can plausibly help with research
FHLB Cincinnati explores AI to spot failing banks
Agentic model detects anomalies, monitors sentiment and drafts credit reports for analyst review
The loneliness of the model risk manager
Boards may see them as a drag on innovation; risk functions need to show they embrace efficiency
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