Donald Trump
FX options market eyes Trump inauguration trades
FX Markets Europe: Traders turn to short-dated plays on cabinet picks and early tariff actions
US election a ‘classic inflection point’ – Rory Stewart
Risk Live: Podcaster and former politician talks geopolitical risk and UK politics in keynote speech
Go your own way: departures pose new challenges for CFTC
Loss of Democratic majority would impede chairman’s ambitions for regulatory agenda
FX options traders rethink vol drivers amid macro uncertainty
Market-makers believe more and more events will influence options pricing as political risk bubbles up during 2024
Legal challenges loom for renewed US focus on Sifis
Lawyers say any FSOC attempt to designate systemic non-banks risks a repeat of MetLife case
UBS found no advantage in quantum computing – ex data chief
Swiss bank tested various use cases in the trading business before giving up on the technology
US midterm election scenarios: a fright after Halloween
Republican control of Congress could deal “a sharp shock to markets”, analysis suggests
Quarles calls for SLR ‘recalibration’ to support Treasuries
Former vice-chair says leverage ratio gold plate was based on flawed projections of Fed reserves
Top 10 operational risks for 2022
The biggest op risks for the year ahead, as chosen by senior industry practitioners
Haitong set for warrants wins as China sanctions hit US banks
China securities firm doubles HKEX warrant output as US banks pull listed products on vetoed names
Why the US election fallout was not a surprise to banks
A contested result was unexpected, but scenario planning meant banks weren’t unprepared
Big moves, but no panic after tumultuous US election
Treasury market saw its largest post-election move since at least 2000 – but liquidity held up
US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested
Crowdsourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results
Stuart Lewis, Deutsche’s survivor, confronts Covid-19
CRO talks loan reserves, VAR breaches, and the lessons of a lurid past
Top 10 op risks 2020: geopolitical risk
Nationalism, trade wars and epidemics make for a heady cocktail
In the US, it’s an even ‘tougher legacy’ for Libor
A legislative solution for cash products is in the works, but lawyers say it raises constitutional issues
Engle: rise in geopolitical risks may be overestimated
Risk USA: Nobel laureate’s new ‘Geovol’ model suggests geopolitical risk no higher than during past 20 years
Politicians must heal a fractured UK society
Political journalist Robert Peston has grave concerns over the future of Britain, seeing profound risks with or without Brexit
US-China trade war becomes focus again for commodities
As the end of the 90-day truce in US-China trade hostilities looms, commodity markets brace for uncertainty
Credit data: how US industries have fared under Trump
At the halfway point in the administration, time for a credit check, writes David Carruthers
How to stress-test portfolios for Brexit and trade wars
Options markets point to likely market moves in different scenarios, write StatPro risk specialists