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Top 10 op risks: Playing catch-up on geopolitical risk
Op risk managers downplayed prospect of a major conflict ahead of Iran war
Mutual funds are trading inflation like it’s 2022 again
Counterparty Radar: USD CPI notionals hit record levels even before March’s jump in energy prices
UBS’s market RWAs fall below pre-FRTB levels
Charges drop 15.8% in Q4 as legacy assets continue to roll off
Main Street to Wall Street: Kalshi’s bid to go beyond sports bets
Institutional head Andy Ross’s strategy for drawing in investors and charging for ‘wisdom-of-crowds’
MMFs’ Fed repos dwindle to five-year low
Just four managers account for remaining balances as funds shift to Treasuries and repos with dealers
Top 10 operational risks for 2026
Industry shares intel on biggest collective threats, as well as remedies and loss gauges
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Basel III Endgame
FRTB models find salvation in US Basel III proposal
Changes to P&L attribution test and NMRFs make IMA viable for US banks, risk managers say
Limited RWA gains support rethink on Fed output floor
Advanced approaches cut RWAs only marginally across US banks
US blows the floors off Basel III
Barr criticises “downward deviations” in US rule; Bowman rejects “blind adherence” to global standards
AOCI reinclusion would strip $49.5bn from US bank capital
Schwab, Ally and Fifth Third face largest CET1 hits under Fed Basel III endgame proposal
Risk Quantum
Data insights, delivered daily
Risk Quantum tracks thousands of data points across hundreds of metrics from organisations that represent a cross-section of the financial system. Published daily, articles are short and broken into chunks – the facts, the context and a brief commentary – and use data visualisations to get each story across.
UBS’s market RWAs fall below pre-FRTB levels
Charges drop 15.8% in Q4 as legacy assets continue to roll off
Risk Benchmarking
Top 10 op risks: Playing catch-up on geopolitical risk
Op risk managers downplayed prospect of a major conflict ahead of Iran war
Middle East crisis
How the Iran war wreaked havoc on consensus US rates trades
Hedge fund steepeners, swap spreads and vol-selling strategies were hit as conflict forced stop-outs during March
Has the Iran conflict made FX untradable?
FX options volumes jump despite high costs and short-lived opportunities
EU can handle energy price pressure – it’s been here before
Reforms made after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine have made region more resilient to energy shocks, officials say
CCP default funds grew to record size ahead of Iran war
End-2025 figures show widespread increases in prefunded resources
Deutsche Bank CRO’s year of living dangerously
Marcus Chromik explains his approach to geopolitical risk, operational resilience and AI adoption
Artificial intelligence
The MIT professor giving LLMs a ‘brain scan’
Hui Chen’s research is yielding new ways to interpret – and steer – AI models
Iosco chief talks cyber, AI and clearing
Buenaventura discusses Iosco’s role in aiding market resilience and cross-border co-operation
New LLMs are proving to be surprisingly good quants
Strides in AI’s ability to do maths mean models can plausibly help with research
FHLB Cincinnati explores AI to spot failing banks
Agentic model detects anomalies, monitors sentiment and drafts credit reports for analyst review
Rising reliance on internal auditors spooks regulators and industry
Risk managers warn US is substituting supervisors with auditors; could compromise independence
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