Technical paper/Risk management
Central counterparty anti-procyclicality tools: a closer assessment
This paper investigates whether the substantial focus placed on the procyclicality of initial margin reflects both the original concerns at the time of the 2007-8 financial crisis and the intrinsic 'modus operandi' of CCPs.
Estimation of losses due to cyber risk for financial institutions
The objective of this paper is to analyze cyber risk from an operational risk perspective and to measure cyber risk empirically.
Could holding multiple safe havens improve diversification in a portfolio? The extended skew-t vine copula approach
In this paper, the authors propose a vine copula model based on a bivariate extended skew-t distribution and derive its corresponding multivariate tail dependence function.
Loss given default estimation: a two-stage model with classification tree-based boosting and support vector logistic regression
In this paper, the authors using a data set composed of five Japanese regional banks, propose an loss given default estimation model using a two-stage model, classification tree-based boosting and support vector regression (SVR).
Introducing a novel system-of-systems axiomatic risk management technique for production systems
This paper focuses on conceptual and modeling frameworks in an attempt to explore qualitative and quantitative risk management techniques for hierarchical SoS risks, exemplifying the production systems for demonstration.
An alternative approach for the operational risk assessment of a new product
The aim of this paper is to provide a new operational risk management framework to identify and mitigate the operational risk exposure arising from a new product.
The utility of Basel III rules on excessive violations of internal risk models
In this paper, the author looks at the efficacy of risk measures on energy markets and across several different stock market indexes, and calculates both the value-at-risk (VaR) and the expected shortfall (ES) on each of these data sets as well as on…
A review of the state of the art in quantifying operational risk
In this paper, the authors provide a comprehensive review of the different approaches developed to model operational risk, specifically focusing on the actuarial approach.
Global perspectives on operational risk management and practice: a survey by the Institute of Operational Risk (IOR) and the Center for Financial Professionals (CeFPro)
This paper presents survey results which represent comprehensive perspectives on operational risk practice, obtained from practitioners in a wide range of countries and sectors.
A general framework for constructing bank risk data sets
This paper proposes a general framework for constructing bank risk data sets, which provides an integrated process from data sources to comprehensive risk data sets.
Risk monitoring through better knowledge-based risk processes
The aim of this paper is to propose a model that describes the integration of knowledge-based risks (via the processes of knowledge-based risk identification, analysis, evaluation and education) and knowledge-based risk repositories to support risk…
Forecasting corporate defaults in the German stock market
In this paper, the authors estimate and test several default risk models using new and unique data on corporate defaults in the German stock market.
Credit default prediction using a support vector machine and a probabilistic neural network
In this study, the authors address the fact that the ranking of classifiers varies for different criteria with measures under different circumstances, by proposing the simultaneous application of support vector machine and probabilistic neural network …
Bridging networks, systems and controls frameworks for cybersecurity curriculums and standards development
This paper proposes a risk management framework designed to facilitate the alignment, integration and streamlining of professional practice standards and computer science/cybersecurity educational curriculums by bridging NPNATFs, SNIFs and RMCPFs.
The quickest way to lose the money you cannot afford to lose: reverse stress testing with maximum entropy
This paper extends a technique devised by Saroka and Rebonato to “optimally” deform a yield curve in order to deal with a common and practically relevant class of optimization problems subject to linear constraints.
Optimal equity protection of Solvency II regulated portfolios
In the context of equity investments, this paper examines the relationship between the cost of acquiring protection (in the form of put option) and the reduction of capital charges that it entails. The paper develops the idea that Solvency II regulations…
Evaluating the role of risk networks in risk identification, classification and emergence
This paper presents an evaluation of how risk interdependence affects the risk management process.
Risk management and regulation
The author presents a systematic review of the chronological evolution of risk management, in tandem with financial innovation and methodological advances in derivatives pricing.
Nondefault loss allocation at central counterparties
In this paper, the authors answer three questions about the appropriate allocation of nondefault losses at central counterparties.
Estimating “hedge and auction” liquidation costs in central counterparties: a closeout risk approach
This paper shows how the closeout risk framework can be extended to realistically represent and simulate the potential outcomes of “hedge and auction” default management policies currently implemented by several major central counterparties.
Management of behavioral risk in the first line of defence
This paper discusses key features of fighting behavioral risk in the business line of operations as the central hub for all transactions in a bank.
An uncertainty quantification framework for the achievability of backtesting results of trading strategies
In this paper, the authors propose a framework for implementing and backtesting trading strategies.
A practical maturity assessment method for model risk management in banks
This paper proposes a qualitative method to assess the maturity of model risk management practices within banks.
Risk management for private equity funds
This paper aims to fill a gap in the literature by developing the first comprehensive risk management framework for private equity fund investments.