Inflation
AI spend in US could be good for bonds in Europe – finance chiefs
Development of AI is capital-intensive, but adoption less so, which could favour EU
Aussie inflation traders call for linker buyback scheme
Firms fear liquidity bifurcation as market transitions to new indexation formula
Bowman’s GDP-linked proposal would lift bank thresholds by 42%
Recalibration would push five banks out of category III and leave Synchrony and Flagstar below the large-bank line
Keeping inflation markets open if government shuts down
Last year’s US government shutdown upset inflation trades; an Isda band-aid helped but a longer-term fix is needed
Sticky fears about sticky inflation
Risk.net survey finds investors are not yet ready to declare victory on inflation – with good reason
Citi launches core inflation QIS
Custom indexes eliminate energy and food prices to ease trading of stickier inflation trends
Inflation derivatives house of the year: Citi
Risk Awards 2026: US bank gets CPI swaption market off the ground and expands cross-market trading capabilities
Bond investors diverge on AI’s rates impact
While many agree the technology will drive growth, questions remain over the timing and inflationary impact
It takes two: bilateral price streaming takes hold in govvies
Large dealers offer direct API access to government bonds as alternative to request-for-quote trading
The ‘get-out-of-debt’ card that may worry bond investors
A new paper analyses the controversial tool that governments may be forced to deploy to control borrowing costs
UBS sterling rates head joins RBC Capital Markets
Ian Hale joins the Canadian bank as head of European inflation trading
The investors who aren’t fretting over Trump’s stat sulk
Some see dismissal of statistics agency chief as an assault on US institutional integrity; for others it offers a chance to throw off outdated methods
Judy Shelton on gold, tariffs and where the Fed went wrong
Potential successor to Jerome Powell makes the case for cutting rates and tamping down dollar volatility
Central bank watch: Biased to ease, for now
A mid-year review of the monetary policy outlook for G10 central banks, India, China and South Korea
Navigating volatile markets: a rule book for fixed income investors
A framework that measures indicators to assess investment in US Treasuries, US credit, European debt and emerging markets debt
Investors dip a toe back into Tips despite April losses
US inflation-linked bonds back in vogue as stagflation hedge
Deutsche’s Americas CRO on risk-taking in choppy markets
Risk Live Boston: Risk managers must stay alive to sudden market moves, but volatility can also bring opportunity, says Jonathan Hummel
‘Trump slump’ hedges rise on rate cut fears
One dealer notes fivefold increase in number of clients hedging against possibility of faster rate cuts
Japanese banks’ bond strategies diverge amid interest rate shifts
MUFG increases JGB portfolio duration to four-year high, while SMFG and SMTG take opposite bet
2025 capital market expectations: slowing but not sinking
Monetary policy is the governor of the relationship between growth and inflation
Risk.net’s top 10 investment risks for 2025
Fresh concerns this year include a trade war, a stock market crash and growing social discord