Introduction to Part V: The future of non-financial risk management

Thomas Kaiser





Introduction to Part I: The origins of non-financial risk management


The complete history of operational risk regulation (abridged)


Financial institutions and non-financial risk: Learning from the corporate approach


The painful financial side of NFR


“Risk management is about managing risk” and “It’s all about people”: Psychology might be more important than models


The confusion of Babel: What’s in the name NFR – taxonomy

Introduction to Part II: Governance of non-financial risk management


“It’s the culture, stupid”: Risk culture as the key building block of NFR management – and why some banks have come through the Covid-19 pandemic better than others


Do you know who is who? Three lines of defence in the context of NFR


Herding cats? NFR divisions as truly diverse units


“Just do it!”: Partially self-organising governance structures for NFR frameworks

Introduction to Part III: Tools and instruments for non-financial risk management


A risk by any other name: Identification, classification and agendas


Old but gold? Mastering the RCSA despite Covid-19


Biases in scenario analyses and how to mitigate them


When scenarios are not severe enough: Stress testing for non-financial risk


Ending NFR in NFR: From Excel sheets to professional IT systems for NFR management


Breaking up with risk management: Using the power of controls for good not the prevention of evil

Introduction to Part IV: Focus areas of non-financial risk management


It won’t be over after Covid-19: Pandemics and operational resilience


Dealing with IT complexity and innovation: Delivering business resilience and customer outcomes


Protecting the new gold: Information security


Conduct risk and the impact of Covid-19


From lawsuits to models: Compliance risk and financial crime


Others are doing it cheaper: But can they really? Opportunities and risks in outsourcing


Managing reputation and stakeholders

Introduction to Part V: The future of non-financial risk management


ESG risk as a new (and very important) trigger for NFR


Looking into the crystal ball: What will NFR management look like in 2030?


This time will be different: An alternative future of NFR management


Right time, right place: The drive for change in operational and non-financial risk

As mentioned in the Introduction, the question “where are we heading to?” is probably the most important one. Hence, we saved the answers on that for the last part of the book. In an ideal world, the framework for non-financial risk management would become so effective that no risks would ever materialise – and we could all go home, play golf or whatever pastime you like to pursue.

The reality is – and with almost 100% likelihood will also be in the future – that not even the most sophisticated tools and techniques for managing non-financial risk will get you there. Apologies if you were already dreaming of life on a golf course! Arguably, not even the most comprehensive and sophisticated system for “purifying society” (this is not my invention: it’s actually one of the official goals of the Chinese social credit system)11 See Thomas Kaiser and Tatjana Schulz, 2020, “Risk Culture as a Means of Mitigating Conduct Risk”, in O. Everling (Ed), Social Credit Rating (Springer), for a discussion of similarities and differences between the Chinese social credit system and risk culture in banks – and many other chapters in that book on how the system works and is perceived. is likely to

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