Volatility
Short dollar bets make cautious return after safe-haven rush
Cautious USD-weakening positions re-emerge despite return of natural ‘dollar smile’ hedge
QIS futures debut – but only simple ones for now
Goldman and Societe Generale kick-start Eurex market with equity baskets
Convex volatility interpolation
The modelling of implied volatility surfaces is reframed as an optimisation problem
Integration strengthens e-trading in persistently volatile markets
Survey reveals that traders are grappling with daily volatility, while technology outranks liquidity as the top market structure concern
Markets never forget: the lasting impression of square-root impact
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud argues trade flows have a large and long-term effect on asset prices
Podcast: Pietro Rossi on credit ratings and volatility models
Stochastic approaches and calibration speed improve established models in credit and equity
Neural networks unleashed: joint SPX/VIX calibration has never been faster
SPX and VIX options can be jointly calibrated in real time with deep neural networks
Investors turn to costly ‘all weather’ hedging strategies
Geopolitical and technology risks spur demand for multi-strategy QIS tail hedges
LatAm FX carry trade shrugs off geopolitical fears
Clients in regional carry positions remain undeterred by US interventions, say dealers
S&P bull run drives interest in reset and lookback hedges
Variable strike put options proved popular alternative hedging format of 2025
October’s crash shows crypto has come of age
Ability to absorb $19bn liquidation event marks a turning point in market’s maturity, says LMAX Group's Jenna Wright
Quants tell FX dealers how to make the most of passive liquidity
Paper from HSBC and Imperial sets out when to skew pricing, and when not
Analyzing the impact of energy prices on US stock market volatility
Using data from January 1986 to December 2023, the authors explore the time-varying impact of energy prices on the US stock market.
Dealer views mixed over future of profitable EM FX carry trade
Emerging market FX carry trades have generated 7.5% returns since April, but dealers question longevity
US G-Sibs diverge on cashflow volatility
Maturity mismatch add-on hits peak at two banks and trough at two others
Machine learning in oil market volatility forecasting: the role of feature selection and forecast horizon
This paper investigates oil market volatility prediction, showing financial variables to dominate short-horizon forecasting, while macroeconomic and sentiment factors increase in importance at longer horizons
Currency derivatives house of the year: Bank of America
Risk Awards 2026: Early call on dollar weakness helped bank break vega records in April and quickly recycle 95% of risk
Real money looks to dynamic hedges after tariff bout
Buy-siders are adopting more responsive FX hedging strategies after correlations broke down
Institutional investors take profit on gold trades
Hedge funds trimmed longs after gold rally and triggered massive market selloff
The curious case of the missing volatility risk premium
Volatility investors will need to work harder and smarter to capture value, says Capstone
The crypto Wild West: a deep dive into the market volatility of junk coins versus Bitcoin
The authors assess the volatility of Bitcoin returns versus those of Dogecoin, Shiba Inu and Baby Doge Coin, finding that Bitcoin exhibits lower volatility and is the benchmark cryptoasset.