Volatility
Volatility scaling unravels as market patterns shift
Waning power of quant approach could be a reason for trend following’s malaise
China Minsheng and SocGen team up for quant index product
CMBC Macro 1 signal index attracts $580 million as investors adapt to products without performance guarantees
Podcast: Hong on quanto derivatives and Asia’s quant drought
Credit Suisse quant talks about new paper on valuing quanto options
Tail-risk mitigation with managed volatility strategies
This paper examines strategy performance from an investment practitioner perspective. Using long-term data from the Standard & Poor’s 500, the authors show that these strategies offer an improvement in risk-adjusted return compared with a buy-and-hold…
Roughening Heston
El Euch, Rosenbaum, Gatheral combine a rough volatility model with the classical Heston model
HKEX clearing head talks margin and auctions post-Nasdaq
CCPs have work to do to restore confidence in clearing, but Roland Chai has a plan
Podcast: Ronn on using a financial-economics approach to forecast crude oil spot prices
Professor of finance talks about using equity, index and crude oil options to forecast spot prices
Risky notes replace easy money for exotics desks
Dealers insist ‘it’s different’ as flat US curve revives bonds that sank the Street in 2008
Fed repo facility may fix SOFR’s image problem
‘Overnight standing repo facility’ could stop year-end rate spikes, and extend Fed’s reach
Capturing alpha in Asia’s ETF market – Trends to watch in 2019
As the inclusion of China A-shares into major indexes could potentially lead to record inflows into China, 2019 is set to be an exceptional year for the Asian exchange-traded funds (ETFs) market. Meanwhile, investors in the region are increasingly eyeing…
Finding potential in a volatile commodities market
Macquarie is uniquely positioned to offer clients a range of products, expertise and experience across the commodities space. Nick O’Kane discusses the bank’s approach to commodity markets and what he expects next
US banks boost sales of CDS, reversing two-year trend
BofA Securities increased CDS notionals the most, adding $30.3 billion to its portfolio
US G-Sibs’ VAR-based charges jump 23% in Q4 2018
On aggregate, the eight G-Sibs posted a VAR-based capital charge of $2.9 billion
Range-based volatility forecasting: an extended conditional autoregressive range model
This paper proposes an extended conditional autoregressive range (EXCARR) model to describe the range-based volatility dynamics of financial assets.
ε-monotone Fourier methods for optimal stochastic control in finance
In this paper, the authors give a preprocessing step for Fourier methods that involves projecting the Green’s function onto the set of linear basis functions.
US-China trade war becomes focus again for commodities
As the end of the 90-day truce in US-China trade hostilities looms, commodity markets brace for uncertainty
Goldman suffers first VAR breach since 2016
Goldman reported 45 days in the calendar quarter where it suffered a trading loss
Traders soured on Vix futures in 2018
Open interest in Vix futures ended year 44% down from January peak
Equity risk amps up Citi’s VAR charges
Requirements connected to equity positions jumped 49% quarter-on-quarter
IFRS 9 drives appetite for long-dated hedges in Asia
New accounting standard helps manage mark-to-market volatility of long-term trades
Deutsche’s market RWAs surge €8bn on volatility spike
Elevated VAR levels and a temporary increase in the incremental risk charge, drove the market RWA increase
Calling out autocallable pricing
Quants show popular autocallable pricing technique has a flaw that has been ignored until now
Second-order risk of alternative risk parity strategies
In this paper, the authors provide theoretical and empirical evidence of the contribution of second-order risk to realized volatility for alternative risk parity strategies.
Eurostoxx dislocations signal autocall hedging pain
Swings in dividends and volatility reveal year-end stress as European index slump tests “peak vega”