Loss
‘It’s the economy’: forecasting an op risk climate change spike
History of op risk suggests economic impacts of climate change could exacerbate losses, writes op risk head
Morgan Stanley sets aside $73m for credit losses
Bank returns to stash reserves triggered by one facility in Q2
Covid-forborne EU loans sour faster as more exit moratoria
Exposures classified as stage two rose 37% in the first three months of 2021
Loan losses: Banks’ estimates out of sync with Fed’s
Wells Fargo worst performer in latest DFAST exercise
NSCC caught $600m short during meme-stock frenzy
Worst-case losses would have wiped out the CCP’s available liquid resources on one day in Q1
Canada’s top banks cut loan-loss provisions by $1.2bn
The decrease in set-asides represents a 92% fall quarter on quarter
US unit of BBVA on the brink of a VAR breach in Q1
Largest loss-to-VAR ratio at the firm was highest among the 12 intermediate holding companies
Credit Suisse held just 10% margin against Archegos book
Swiss bank gave family office 10 times leverage, compared with four or five times at Goldman
Top 10 op risks 2021: data compromise
Remote working elevates fears of data theft, misuse and abuse
Op risk data: In fewer reg fines, US took its lumps in 2020
Also: Retro Russian embezzlement fines; Barclays slapped for lack of forbearance. Data by ORX News
Buffer stops? Why banks haven’t used Covid capital relief
Amid weak credit demand, banks haven’t availed themselves of capital buffers, but they still might
EU’s dividend ban overshadows reform effort
Banks may be reluctant to run down buffers even if regulators soften the MDA threshold for payouts
Regions deploys early-warning tool for credit risk
Risk USA: system alerted US superregional to impending defaults during Covid crisis
Op risk data: Firm-wide control fails cost Citi $400m
Also: Deutsche draws fire and AML fine over Danske trades. Data by ORX News
One man’s trash is another man’s Treasury
With yields at record lows, investors are asking how much protection bonds will offer in a future crisis
Banks fold climate, pandemic and cyber risks into CCAR
OpRisk North America: anchoring idiosyncratic risks to macro scenarios a challenge, say experts
IFRS 9 and the loan loss lottery
As reserves for bad loans balloon, banks grapple with measuring Covid-era credit risk
Altman: mega-bankruptcy wave coming
Credit conditions were worsening before Covid, research finds
Asia collar financing surges on back of Covid-19 volatility
Options-based structures gain ground on margin loans – and dealers say it may be a structural shift
Discover, Capital One loans ravaged by Fed stress test
Credit card losses especially pronounced among regional US lenders
Studies test investors’ risk aversion after crash
Researchers use March tumult to investigate psychology of risk-taking
Sometimes it’s fine to be boring
Diversification puts portfolios in the middle of the pack – where investors feel safe, writes Antonia Lim
Q&A: Ron Dembo on crowd-spotting black swans
Veteran quant argues large groups are better at gauging extreme uncertainty than small teams of experts
The mysterious disappearance of a Chicago trading giant
Puzzling losses, a closely guarded auction and possible redemption – sources unpick Ronin’s collapse