Credit risk
Revolutionising credit surveillance: part one
Early warning indicators for credit risk changes are key, especially during high market volatility. Some of these indicators rely on security prices as the primary driver; however, the volatility of market prices may cause the early warnings to be active…
Supervisors use generative AI to tame ‘chaotic’ data
Officials merge credit databases with unstructured reports to sharpen bank oversight, explains Banco de España ex-deputy
Could Trump presidency herald $27bn margin call on World Bank?
Think-tank’s policy plan to pull US out of multilateral threatens AAA rating, ending collateral exemption
Backtesting correlated quantities
A technique to decorrelate samples and reach higher discriminatory power is presented
Risk management overhauls juggle speed and independence
Some banks say the 1.5 line of defence responds faster to risk, but supervisors are still divided
UBS Americas’ delinquent mortgages up sixfold post Credit Suisse merger
Share of delinquent exposures jumps to 1.2% of bank’s total real estate loan portfolio
The post-Archegos risk model rebuild begins… slowly
Following regulatory prodding, banks start to overhaul counterparty risk models. A flurry of new research on the topic may aid the effort
Nykredit reclassifies Dkr70bn of credit risk to A-IRB
Reserves held in anticipation of upcoming regulatory requirements transferred from F-IRB approach in Q2
New CRE model adds $1.8bn to UBS’s RWAs
Swath of exposures moved from standardised to IRB approach in the second quarter
Consumer credit card payment dynamics over the economic cycle
This papers uses data from 1.8 million credit card accounts to investigate how consumers revolve credit card debt and the impact of this on default risk.
Credit options notional for top US dealers soars 45.3%
Investor demand for puts and calls drives balances near Q1 2022 record
Valley National cuts CRE concentration after balance sheet tweak
Reassessment of nursing-home loans as ‘owner-occupied’ brings CRE-to-capital benchmark down 24 percentage points in Q2
HSBC’s stage 3 loans jump in H1 by most since pandemic
Deteriorating CRE loans in Hong Kong drive surge
NatWest securitisation RWAs hit record high in Q2
Higher amounts of significant risk transfers originated by the bank behind latest increase
The challenges of standardised credit risk assessments for banks under Basel III
A white paper addressing the challenges of standardised credit risk assessments (SCRA) for bank exposures under Basel III, including changes to risk-weighted assets and SCRA implementation
Stage fright: lenders still struggling with IFRS 9 transitions
Divergence in how banks move loans between stages of impairment prompts regulators to push for more homogenous approach
US banks’ performance in latest DFAST worst in six years
Fed blames higher credit card delinquencies, riskier corporate lending and lower revenue
How a ‘sushi circle’ approach can improve credit risk management
AI can help banks shift from manual corporate loan reviews to continuous, digitised risk monitoring, as four practitioners explain
Counterparty risk model links defaults to portfolio values
Fed’s Michael Pykhtin proposes using copula models to capture effects of margin calls on default risk
Shift to SEC-SA pushes Helaba’s charges for securitisation exposures to record high
Standardised RWAs account for 63% of the bank’s total following fivefold increase
Enhancing counterparty credit risk management in modern banking
A webinar addressing banks' strategies for optimising credit risk mitigation strategies and utilising risk-sensitive margining to manage counterparty exposures effectively