Backtesting
Rewards for failure: the ECB’s topsy-turvy market risk relief
Eurozone banks with better models are least able to offset Covid-driven rise in backtesting multiplier
EBA relaxes modellability hurdles for market risk capital
Flexibility granted for assessing NMRFs on options, but constraints remain on committed quotes
FRTB comes too late for Covid crisis
Expected shortfall would stop Basel 2.5 duplicate capital charges, but backtesting still a problem
Eurozone banks fear market risk capital hike due to Covid-19
Hopes that ECB will fix double-counting as VAR breaches rise on market volatility
Fuzzy data stalls ESG alpha hunt
Quants searching for ESG signals have reached very different conclusions. Mostly they blame the data
Initial margin – A regulatory bottleneck
With the recent announcement of an extended preparation period for those smaller entities needing to post initial margin under the uncleared margin rules, the new timetable could cause a bottleneck for firms busy repapering derivatives contracts linked…
Final Volcker rule spurs rethink on FRTB trading desks
Regulators encourage structural alignment between the two rules, but hurdles remain
The Fundamentals of market risk rules
With the 2022 Fundamental Review of the Trading Book (FRTB) deadline looming, banks are fast coming to grips with the amount of work still to be done to achieve a successful implementation
Regulatory relief, but the pressure is still on
As the new compliance schedule for IM requirements on non-cleared derivatives comes into force, IHS Markit’s director, derivatives data and valuation services, Kashyap Sheth outlines what to expect next
Goldman, BBVA and TD Group incur VAR breaches in Q3
US unit of TD Group endures four breaches in three months to end-September
Interest rate, credit risk push BNP Paribas’ VAR up 25%
French bank also reported a VAR breach in Q3
Measuring expected shortfall under semi-parametric expected shortfall approaches: a case study of selected Southern European/Mediterranean countries
In this paper, the authors investigate the applicability of semi-parametric approaches for estimating expected shortfall.
Backtesting expected shortfall: a simple recipe?
In this paper, the authors introduce a new ES backtesting framework based on the duality between coherent risk measures and scale-invariant performance measures.
Stress-testing to improve strategic decision‑making
Banking regulators remain focused on expanding and developing the range of stress-testing regimes across the globe to maintain stability, monitor emerging risks and avoid another financial crisis. Here, a forum of industry leaders discusses the evolution…
Double trouble: don’t blur FRTB deadlines, warns ECB
Ignoring reporting model deadline could muddy capital approval cut-off
European FRTB proposals spark XVA overload fears
Banks warn of overly complex revaluation process and heightened risk of backtest fails
Backtesting expected shortfall: mission accomplished?
A rigorous backtest for ES cannot exist, but a good approximation might do the job
Podcast: Acerbi on backtesting ES and FRTB’s patchwork rules
Banque Pictet quant explains a new backtesting method for expected shortfall
The minimally biased backtest for ES
Acerbi and Szekely present a backtest for expected shortfall
The efficiency of the Anderson–Darling test with a limited sample size: an application to backtesting counterparty credit risk internal models
This paper presents a theoretical and empirical evaluation of the Anderson–Darling test when the sample size is limited.
State Street, Goldman push VAR limits the most
Average of largest trading losses-to-VAR at State Street above 90% over past 12 months
State Street, UBS and TD Group incur VAR breaches
Backtesting exceptions cause TD Group's and State Street's market risk capital charge multipliers to climb
A tech-driven transformation
A panel of experts explores how greater collaboration between risk and finance teams can garner significant benefits and add value, how technological innovation is making the regulatory landscape more complicated to navigate and produce transformative…
Risk and finance – Better together
Changing regulations and new accounting standards are creating enormous challenges for financial organisations. Thorsten Hein, principal product marketing manager, risk research and quantitative solutions at SAS, explores why, to successfully meet these…