Risk magazine - Feb 2026
Cover detail:
Michael Falzoni
Untitled, Watercolour, 100 cm × 100 cm
www.michaelfalzoni.com
Instagram: @michaelfalzoniart
Articles in this issue
Market doesn’t share FSB concerns over basis trade
Industry warns tougher haircut regulation could restrict market capacity as debt issuance rises
BPI says SR 11-7 should go; bank model risk chiefs say ‘no’
Lobby group wants US guidance repealed; practitioners want consistent model supervision and audit
Esma supervision proposals ensnare Bloomberg and Tradeweb
Derivatives and bonds venues would become subject to centralised supervision
UK clearing houses face tougher capital regime than EU peers
Ice resists BoE plan to move second skin in the game higher up capital stack, but members approve
Market-makers seek answers about CME’s cloud move
Silence on data centre changes fuels speculation over how new matching engine will handle orders
Repo stress drove 2025 SOFR-to-fed funds swap pivot
SOFR OIS volumes slipped to almost half of fed funds activity during September repo spikes
Real money investors cash in as dispersion nears record levels
Implied spreads were elevated to start 2026. Realised levels have been “almost unprecedented”
What’s next for Treasury clearing? Cleared buy-side tri-party enhancements at DTCC
Innovations to improve margin efficiency for the buy side and streamline done-away activity with tri-party repo enhancements to FICC’s sponsored and agent clearing services
People: JP Morgan’s data and AI move, Eurex clearing chief, and more
Latest job changes across the industry
We’re gonna need a bigger board: geopolitical risk takes centre stage
As threats multiply, responsibility for geopolitical risk is shifting to ERM teams
CME outage sparks FX soul search
How November’s halt exposed fragile wiring of new futures-led market structure
One vision, two paths: UK reporting revamp diverges from EU
FCA and Esma could learn from each other on how to cut industry compliance costs
Investors turn to costly ‘all weather’ hedging strategies
Geopolitical and technology risks spur demand for multi-strategy QIS tail hedges
Forex looks to flip the (stable)coin
Friction-free foreign exchange is the prize offered by stablecoins such as Tether and USDC. But the prize remains elusive
Markets never forget: the lasting impression of square-root impact
Jean-Philippe Bouchaud argues trade flows have a large and long-term effect on asset prices
Italy’s spread problem is not (always) a credit story
Occasional doubts over Italy’s role in the monetary union adds political risk premium, argues economist
Seven developments shaping US Treasury clearing
As the SEC’s US Treasury clearing mandate approaches, FICC is rolling out new access models, protections and risk tools to help market participants prepare for a broader move into central clearing
Beyond the hype, tokenisation can fix the pipework
Blockchain tech offers slicker and cheaper ops for illiquid assets, explains digital expert
Rethinking model validation for GenAI governance
A US model risk leader outlines how banks can recalibrate existing supervisory standards
Integration strengthens e-trading in persistently volatile markets
Survey reveals that traders are grappling with daily volatility, while technology outranks liquidity as the top market structure concern
Neural networks unleashed: joint SPX/VIX calibration has never been faster
SPX and VIX options can be jointly calibrated in real time with deep neural networks
Convex volatility interpolation
The modelling of implied volatility surfaces is reframed as an optimisation problem
Podcast: Pietro Rossi on credit ratings and volatility models
Stochastic approaches and calibration speed improve established models in credit and equity