Opinion
Copulas find new role in derivatives pricing
Pricing model for exotic options revives poster child of 2008 credit crisis
The great term premium comeback
Sovereign bonds are reintroducing risk compensation, opening up new areas of rates innovation, write Barclays rates heads
US Basel III endgame: a credit risk calibration conundrum
If regulators want to finalise the rules, they should strip out gold plate and cancel a haircut
DFAST monoculture is its own test
Drop in frequency and scope of stress test disclosures makes it hard to monitor bank mimicry of Fed models
Why flows now rival fundamentals
Geography and market sentiment are having profound impacts on price action, says LMAX’s head of FX data
When AI models malfunction, address the problem not the math
Governance of artificial intelligence models should focus on actionable outcomes rather than interpretability, argues former chief regulator
Lightening the RWA load in securitisations
Credit Agricole quants propose new method for achieving capital neutrality
Op risk data: 1MDB scandal still haunts Wall Street
Also: Woodford in hot water, Salesforce voice phishing hooks multiple firms. Data by ORX News
How much do investors really care about Fed independence?
The answer for some is more nuanced than you might think
Why know-it-all LLMs make second-rate forecasters
A bevy of experiments suggests LLMs are ill-suited for time-series forecasting
Crypto’s predictable path from central books to OTC discretion
Demand for bilateral trading as seen in FX is fuelling crypto’s institutional take-up, finds BridgePort
Trump’s FX impact: a tale of two terms
Traders say Trump version 2.0 is already proving a much trickier task to manage than the original, and have had to adapt
Op risk data: Santander takes hefty historic hit over PPI mis-selling
Also: Brazil’s cyber screw-up, Barclays’ AML mishap, and MAS metes out more AML fines. Data by ORX News
The AI bot that left the garage
Senior operational risk exec explains how hidden third-party feature could lead to systemic risk
The Bank of England’s four pillars for a new CCP rule book
Executive director urges feedback on margin transparency, broader collateral and aiding innovation
Podcast: Muhle-Karbe on the maths behind broker selection
Imperial College’s mathematical finance head introduces new tool to measure slippage and trade quality
Turn of the skew: FX options dealers balance fragile market
Calls-versus-puts demand flips wildly in response to geopolitical events
Libor appeals leave future misconduct cases Hayes-y
UK authorities must develop a more effective framework for punishing bad bankers
Was a big US bank close to collapse in 2023?
PNC’s Bill Demchak says it was. And the data suggests he was talking about BofA
Op risk data: GVA and Nobitex in geopolitical risk strikes
Also: UBS chief a target of third-party data hack, internal bank frauds in Asia. Data by ORX News
From fringe to forecast: why bitcoin now moves like a currency
LMAX data finds crypto prices react to macro market events as quickly as EUR/USD
Lessons from chaos theory on Trump tariff bottlenecks
Forecasting the ripple effects of trade policies presents a special challenge
Sebi unravels Jane Street’s ‘sinister’ trades
US trading firm barred from Indian securities market after “disregarding” February warnings
US banks’ VAR shortfalls are wrapped in a black box
Public disclosures only allow crude approximations of loss size and timing