Systemic risk
Rising systemic risk demands a new risk management paradigm
Reinsurers need insurance-linked securities to share burden of climate-related catastrophic risk
First Chinese TLAC ratios trail global peers
Bank of Communications’s 18.7% TLAC lowest among 28 G-Sibs
Systemic risk jumps at Chinese G-Sibs in 2024
OTC derivatives and securities volumes drive sharpest increases in 10 years
BoE plans to link system-wide and individual stress tests
Meanwhile, ECB wants to broaden system-wide stress models to include central counterparties
The future of risk and insurability in the era of systemic disruption, unpredictability and artificial intelligence
The authors demonstrate the fragile nature of traditional risk management techniques in the face of frequent high-impact shocks and advocate for a new approach that treats disruption as systemic rather than episodic.
JPM leads record STWF surge at US G-Sibs
Five banks hit new highs in Q4, as increased reliance weighs on systemic risk scores
Singaporean banks see surge in systemic risk indicators
2024 figures show underwriting activity spike across the board
US dealers’ OTC clearing rates plunge to multi-year lows
Cleared notionals down $24.3trn in Q4 amid year-end compression push
BofA, JPM face 50bp increase in G-Sib surcharge
Surge in systemic indicators puts banks on track for 3.5% and 5% add-ons in 2027
Why the survival of internal models is vital for financial stability
Risk quants say stampede to standardised approaches heightens herding and systemic risks
A tale of two tail risks
This paper investigates the relationship between banking credit risk and the financial market jump hazard rate, finding the two risks to have opposing behaviors.
Valley National cuts CRE exposure amid charge-offs and loan sales
Exposures fall to 362% of total capital, but portfolio keeps deteriorating
Regis-TR and the Emir Refit blame game
Reporting overhaul was marred by problems at repositories, prompting calls to stagger future go-live dates
The Emir error reports that cost banks millions
Dealers lambast onerous EU requirement to notify clients of all errors and omissions
Global banks boost Level 3 assets to new highs
European lenders and UBS-Credit Suisse merger fuelled rise in hard-to-value instruments in 2023
G-Sib cross-border risk drops to four-year low
Two-thirds of systemic banks saw systemic indicator decrease in 2023
Thirteen EU banks face loan losses of more than 16% from green switch
Climate stress test predicts overall bank losses of 6%, rising to 11% under adverse scenarios
We will shock you: a coherent Bayesian approach for stress testing
The authors propose a novel coherent Bayesian stress test method which preserves the mathematical properties of the risk measures.
Post-UBS takeover, Switzerland sees biggest regional G-Sib score spike
Credit Suisse acquisition pushes UBS’s complexity category to all-time high, driving up country’s overall score
Fed’s stricter G-Sib scoring punishes BofA, Goldman
Duo’s method 2 capital requirements will diverge further from those entailed by Basel’s methodology
Snap! Derivatives reports decouple after Emir Refit shake-up
Counterparties find new rules have led to worse data quality, threatening regulators’ oversight of systemic risk
Barclays dethrones JP Morgan as largest OTC derivatives dealer
UK bank’s notionals surged 12.6% to $49 trillion in 2023, G-Sib indicators show
Substitutability cap keeps JP Morgan out of top G-Sib bucket
Uncapped systemic risk score grows to highest level on record
Eleven of 14 G-Sib indicators hit all-time highs
Surging complexity marked 2023, tempered by slower gains overall