Systemic risk
Eurozone systemic risk diminishes
Yet jumbo exposures to other banks dominate intra-system assets
G-Sibs add $33trn of OTC notionals in Q1
JP Morgan expands swaps book by 23% in first quarter
Systemic risk scores surge at six US G-Sibs
JP Morgan and Goldman Sachs bump up against higher-risk surcharge thresholds
US mid-sized banks may bulk up. (Is that safe?)
The crisis over a decade gone, the Fed’s ‘tailoring’ proposal will greatly relax rules on the mid-tier
Deutsche Bank's asset cull to lower systemic risk buffer
G-Sib surcharge could drop to 1.5%; leverage ratio to 3.75%
HSBC's systemic risk indicator amounts grow
UK lender is just 20bp short of 2.5% capital surcharge bucket
Deutsche predicts lower G-Sib charge
German lender expects to fall into 1.5% surcharge bucket by 2022
Don’t fear the clearer
Wider use of CCPs not systemic threat – but participants do face hard-to-measure risks
Realism or deregulation? Fed sidelined in oversight of insurers
Proposed activities-based approach to non-bank systemic risk will make Sifi designations less likely
Data gap leaves six foreign banks in US regulatory limbo
New Fed FBO proposal relies on an indicator that banks have not yet been reporting
US G-Sibs owned over $50bn of other banks' capital in 2018
BofA Securities held the most of the group at $10.9 billion
EU swap users still hope for single-sided reporting, one day
Lawmakers fail to deliver Emir reprieve but tease at potential future changes
Schwab, Northern Trust’s funding risk rivals G-Sibs'
Two non-G-Sibs have high short-term wholesale funding scores under Method 2
Goldman, Wells Fargo grew hard-to-value assets in 2018
In contrast, the other six US G-Sibs slashed $4.4 billion of Level 3 assets on aggregate
Illiquid trading assets drop at big US banks in Q4 2018
Non-HQLA securities fell $146 billion in aggregate
Cleared swaps surged among US banks in 2018
Cleared swaps accounted for 49% of notionals at end-2018
Big US banks dropped $24trn of OTC notionals at year-end
Total notionals reported by the eight US G-Sibs stood at $196.3 trillion at end-December
Study floats idea of breaking up CCP services
Proposal includes explicit public backstop for key functions and private provision of other services
US banks slashed G-Sib scores in Q4 2018
Big cuts to derivatives and trading securities push systemic risk scores lower
Fed may delay counterparty limits for foreign banks
Other countries need time to catch up on Basel large exposures rule, Fed official says
Who pays? Who gains? Central counterparty resource provision in the post-Pittsburgh world
In this paper, the authors develop a conceptual framework to examine whether the regulatory changes since the Pittsburgh Summit could be a catalyst for reconsidering the structure of clearing houses.
Small banks in China carry outsized risk – research
Study shows systemic risk of smaller banks snowballs during stress periods
Credit data: falling default risk for China’s banks
Economic data may be relatively gloomy, but default probabilities for lenders fell sharply last year
Deutsche-Commerz merger would birth giant G-Sib
The combined bank would likely attract 2.5% G-Sib surcharge