Stress-testing
Goldman, Morgan Stanley push for CCAR changes
Balance sheets will shrink in a crisis, not grow, trading houses argue
Barclays, Credit Suisse stress test estimates stray from Fed’s
The two banks miss the mark on stressed capital ratio by 290bp and 460bp, respectively
US banks more cramped by stress tests than global peers
Five out of six US dealers adjust capital based on stress scenarios
Tired of overshooting, BNY Mellon revamps stress test model
Capital distributions crimped by conservative CCAR estimates
CCAR ‘apocalypse’ leads to excess bank capital, says lobbyist
Head of new trade body says Fed should average capital requirements over multiple scenarios
Citi and Wells Fargo wary of stress capital buffer
Recent CCAR tests point to higher CET1 requirements
Stress-test trading losses out of sync with banks’ market risk
Trading and counterparty losses triple those implied by banks’ market RWAs
CCAR losses concentrated at four US banks
BAML, Citi, JP Morgan and Wells Fargo account for more than half of total CCAR projected losses
Foreign bank IHCs shed US assets in 2017
Barclays, Credit Suisse and Deutsche Bank shrunk balance sheets by $166 billion
OK, computer? Hurdles remain for machine learning in credit risk
Concerns over cost, applicability and oversight give pause to banks’ use of ML techniques in credit risk
CCAR projected losses top half a trillion
Trading and counterparty losses made up 20% of total predicted losses across participants
Foreign banks outperform US peers on CCAR
IHCs report 11.1% average post-stress capital ratio
Deutsche Bank fails CCAR; Goldman and Morgan Stanley scrape by
DB USA hit with qualitative fail, while Goldman and Morgan Stanley face dividend and buyback freeze
Quants tout exposure-based approach to op risk modelling
Ebor especially suited to modelling loss events such as legal claims, say proponents
Stress test results show Fed toughening up
Median post-stress ratio of 7.9% the lowest pass mark to date
Seeing red: EU banks swamped by stress test demands
Banks’ stress test submissions receiving tens of thousands of error messages from local supervisors
Fed stress tests stretch State Street, Goldman, Morgan Stanley
State Street worst performer among complex firms on capital; Goldman and Morgan Stanley on SLR
CCAR winners and losers 2012–17
American Express came off worst under CCAR total capital ratio measure among large and complex firms three years out of six