Modelling
Cool heads must guide financial regulation of climate risk
Supervisors can’t simply rely on ‘magical thinking’ of market discipline, says Sergio Scandizzo
EU banks show basic instinct for credit valuation adjustments
Simpler approach to CVA appeals even to some already using more complex models for counterparty risk
Lessons for academic research from model risk management in financial institutions
The authors suggest that model risk management practices used in financial institutions can be applied to academic research and enhance research outcomes.
Margin breaches skyrocket at JSCC amid market volatility
August turmoil led to record initial margin shortfalls at six clearing divisions
Options expiry triggers $4bn liquidity shortfall at NSCC
Second-largest simulated shortfall on record mitigated by extra liquidity deposit and OCC commitment
Quant of the year: Julien Guyon
Risk Awards 2025: Volatility modeller par excellence (and football fan) achieved breakthrough with joint calibration of S&P and Vix options
Rising star in quant finance: Milena Vuletić
Risk Awards 2025: Machine learning-based volatility model confounds sceptics
Neil Chriss sets out to codify the game theory of trading
The co-author of the benchmark Almgren-Chriss model has updated his thinking on market impact
Nordea’s credit RWAs surge €19bn as ECB approves new retail models
Revised risk-weightings for mortgages drive sharp rise in credit risk
Litigation risk assessment: a novel quantitative recency–frequency–monetary model
The authors assess litigation risk and credit risk of companies and investigate interrelationships between these risks, finding a correlation between them.
European banks search for consensus on credit spread risk
New EBA guidelines spawn diverging interpretations of which products must be assessed for CSRBB
Machine learning prediction of loss given default in government-sponsored enterprise residential mortgages
The authors apply machine learning techniques to Loss Given Default estimation, identifying key variables in LGD prediction and evaluating the performance of various models.
Derivatives pricing with AI: faster, better, cheaper
Pascal Tremoureux, head of quantitative research at Murex, describes the firm’s mission to replicate derivatives pricing models through machine learning – slashing time and costs in the process
Scotiabank pivots to standardised approach for securitisation exposures
Risk-weighted assets under SEC-SA jump 450% in three months to end-July
ANZ takes A$20bn RWA add-on from capital floor
Charges linked to output floor adjustment rose sevenfold in the second quarter
The post-Archegos risk model rebuild begins… slowly
Following regulatory prodding, banks start to overhaul counterparty risk models. A flurry of new research on the topic may aid the effort
Nykredit reclassifies Dkr70bn of credit risk to A-IRB
Reserves held in anticipation of upcoming regulatory requirements transferred from F-IRB approach in Q2
EU banks lose relief on model test after FRTB delay
Deferment of new trading book regime to January 2026 eats into transition period for “erratic” P&L attribution test
How is risk culture conceptualized in organizations? The pan-industry risk culture (PIRC) model
This paper puts forward a pan-industry risk culture as a framework through which to proactively manage risk culture.
NatWest, StanChart, Nationwide drive record op RWAs at UK banks
BoE data shows operational risk RWAs highest going back to 2014
BNPP transfers €8bn of liabilities to Level 3
Revision in level-setting responsible for biggest net transfer in at least eight years
NatWest securitisation RWAs hit record high in Q2
Higher amounts of significant risk transfers originated by the bank behind latest increase
Model risk mitigation for pricing services: from the model owner’s lens
Financial markets rely heavily on quantitative models for decision-making, making effective model risk management crucial. Attika Raj, senior specialist, complex securities pricing at LSEG Data & Analytics, emphasises the importance of the first line of…
Six CCPs fail to cover concentration risk in Esma stress test
Largest shortfalls modelled in commodity derivatives segment, led by Ice Clear Europe ECC