Market volatility
Danske, Deutsche and PNC pin SVAR to Covid-19
Most global banks continue to use the global financial crisis to stress-test their portfolios
JP Morgan leads US banks on surging VAR capital charges
Requirements connected to commodity positions jumped 426% in the first quarter
High-frequency movements of the term structure of US interest rates: the role of oil market uncertainty
This paper analyzes the impact of oil market uncertainty on the level, slope and curvature factors derived from the term structure of US interest rates.
BNP Paribas notches three VAR breaches in Q1
Latest count puts bank on cusp of capital penalty
NatWest’s market RWAs up 8% on higher VAR multiplier
Bank incurred regulatory backtesting exceptions amid heightened market volatility
Required margin by FCMs hit all-time high
JP Morgan reported the largest monthly increase across the 48 reporting firms
In roiling markets, fraud rises. Banks want to understand why
Disruption from Ukraine and Covid puts managers on alert for misconduct, as risk controls are stretched to the max
US unit of Barclays close to a VAR breach in Q4
Largest loss-to-VAR ratio at the firm was highest among 10 US intermediate holding companies
US banks see highest number of loss-making days in six years
Wells Fargo, Citi and JP Morgan the worst performers in record-breaking Q4
Top US banks record 14 VAR breaches
JPM, Morgan Stanley, BofA, Citi, Goldman and State Street wrong-footed in volatile end to 2021
JP Morgan incurs eight VAR breaches, triggering capital hike
Largest trading loss in Q4 reached 207% of the bank’s VAR limit
UBS incurred a VAR breach in Q4
The latest larger-than-expected loss – the fourth in 2021 – leaves the bank one step closer to higher capital requirements
Forecasting volatility and market returns using the CBOE Volatility Index and its options
This paper examines the CBOE VIX, the VIX options’ implied volatility and the smirks associated with these options.
US unit of TD Group close to a VAR breach in Q3
Largest loss-to-VAR ratio at the firm was highest among 10 US intermediate holding companies
Bank of America, BNY Mellon incur VAR breaches
The second consecutive backtesting exception for the custodian bank brings it closer to a higher multiplier
Buy-side trading system of the year: Tradeweb
Asia Risk Awards 2021
An old model can shed new light on how flows shape prices
Market microstructure theory may also explain long-term patterns in stock markets
BNY Mellon incurred a VAR breach in Q2
The highest losses-to-VAR ratio was 145.75%, in the first backtesting exception reported by the bank since 2018
Wells Fargo, Citi amass losing days in Q2
On average, the eight top US banks reported 32 loss-making days
Tackling insider fraud – Best practice for banks
Volatile markets, the pivot to remote working and the prevalence of private messaging are just some of the factors contributing to the rising risk of insider fraud. At a recent Risk.net webinar, an expert panel explored the challenges for banks and…
Building forward-looking scenarios: why you’re doing it wrong
Rick Bookstaber and colleagues describe a process for constructing effective scenarios
‘It’s the economy’: forecasting an op risk climate change spike
History of op risk suggests economic impacts of climate change could exacerbate losses, writes op risk head
The Texas freeze and future calamities – How to build business resiliency in the face of disruption
Adverse weather in February stressed the Texas power grid to the point of failure, leaving millions without power and resulting in many firms filing for bankruptcy. While this event had some unique circumstances, extreme events are becoming more frequent
Options trading – Real-time tools evolve as ‘butterfly effects’ take flight
Michael Hollingsworth of Cboe Data and Access Solutions discusses the factors accelerating change in the options market and explains why buy- and sell-side participants are demanding a more nuanced view on options pricing and risk management data