Market risk modelling
Banks find new uses for discarded FRTB models
Much-maligned IMA models are being upcycled and repurposed for internal risk management
VAR tail grew fatter at Bank of America in 2022
Gap between 95% and 99% confidence levels widens to 10-year record
Nordea’s market RWAs drop 20% on Q4 SVAR cut
Last quarter marked reversal of fortunes after 30-month high hit in June
SocGen’s VAR up 33% in Q4
Gap with French rival BNP Paribas shrinks to just €9 million, the least since mid-2020
SEB’s market RWAs drop 20% as FX positions recede
Fall in currency exposures below EU’s threshold in Q4 reversed Skr5.3bn RWA hit from previous quarter
Finma cools off UBS’s VAR model overhaul
Estimated $1.3bn RWA benefit temporarily offset by regulatory add-on
Goldman’s VAR drops 20% in Q4
Retreat led by commodities and interest rate risk
US banks’ loss-to-VAR ratios fell in Q3
Largest daily trading losses were on average 84% of forecast, compared with 105% in Q2
Standardised market charges rose faster at IMA users in H1
Market convulsions and structural FX hedge crackdown felt less acutely at SA-only banks, finds EBA data
RBI’s VAR gauges hit new record
Banking and trading book risk rose in Q3 amid shifts in risk factor mix
Crédit Agricole VAR hits highest since 2010
Trading risk gauge rose as high as €27 million during Q3
Vol pushed HSBC’s modelled market risk up 37% in Q3
Erratic markets in Europe and Asia blamed for $6.4bn increase led by VAR and SVAR-based charges
NatWest’s modelled market RWAs up 10% on RNIV backstop
Bank sees higher charges while it reworks VAR engine
EU dealers’ IRC charges surge on debt market jitters
Santander and Natixis among hardest hit, with charges up 117% over first six months of the year
Regulators should be careful what they wish for on FRTB
New framework likely to reduce use of internal models, as planned; but is that a good thing?
‘Nightmare’ of uncertainty plagues FRTB model applications
Shifting timetable and rule tweaks that could alter incentives dampen appetite for internal models
The evolution of liquidity risk management
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Fortunes of VAR: dealers decry effect of war on risk models
European banks with large Russian derivatives exposures face risk of backtesting exceptions – and higher capital requirements
US banks see highest number of loss-making days in six years
Wells Fargo, Citi and JP Morgan the worst performers in record-breaking Q4
SocGen cut trading VAR by a third in Q4
Trading risk gauge shrinks to lowest in 17 years
Evaluation of backtesting on risk models based on data envelopment analysis
In this study, different value-at-risk models, which are used to measure market risk, are analyzed under different estimation approaches and backtested with an alternative strategy.
Nordea’s trading VAR keeps climbing amid rate hike jitters
Trading risk gauge surged 17% through Q4
UBS incurred a VAR breach in Q4
The latest larger-than-expected loss – the fourth in 2021 – leaves the bank one step closer to higher capital requirements
SA extends reach over EU banks’ market and op risk
Regulator-devised models have been capturing a bigger chunk of RWAs through the pandemic