Market risk modelling
Nomura’s ES requirement swings 75% in turbulent debut
New gauge for modelling interest rate desks’ charges ranged from ¥23bn to ¥41bn over the course of Q1
BNPP, Deutsche among EU banks hit by VAR breaches in April
Sharpest rise in backtesting exceptions since 2022 Ukraine war shock largely linked to tariff chaos
How to solve the Fed’s $300bn FRTB problem
A sacrifice will have to be made to ensure new market risk rules meet demands for capital neutrality
US banks notch most VAR overshoots since pandemic
Dealers’ gauges underestimated trading inventory price swings on 34 occasions during Q2
Nomura’s FRTB models reap 33% saving on debut
Trading desks cleared for new IMA’s use win ¥225 billion relief on end-March capital requirements
Double VAR breach in Q2 adds $4.1bn to JP Morgan’s market RWAs
Sixth regulatory backtesting exception in nine months lifts the multiplier above minimum for the first time since Q3 2022
Basel III overhaul doubles Nomura’s credit risk
Surge reflects asset migration and new equity treatment
SEB’s market risk add-on swells 153% in Q2
Temporary adjustment more than doubles as internal model change awaits sign-off
Bank of England floats ‘quasi-IMA’ in FRTB standardised method
Dealers welcome new route to capitalising residual risk, but it could fragment global ruleset
Market shocks push IRC to records at EU banks
Component for default and migration risk hits new highs at several dealers
UniCredit’s market RWAs would inflate 75% under FRTB
Pro forma figures for capital floor give first look at de-modelling impact on a major EU dealer
StanChart market RWAs surge to record $37bn
SVAR jump alongside higher interest rate and FX risk behind Q1 spike
US banks’ VAR shortfalls are wrapped in a black box
Public disclosures only allow crude approximations of loss size and timing
The VAR-centric models that never were
Often spotlighted, rarely dominant – VAR plays a surprisingly small role in most IMA stacks
Tariff turmoil tests limits of market risk playbooks
Risk Live: Volatile markets reveal need for quicker data and more dynamic risk limits
Bucking Japan megabank trend, Norinchukin’s market RWAs spike 41%
Latest surge underscores challenge of adapting to FRTB
Barclays takes selective approach to FRTB IMA applications
Risk Live: UK bank is applying for approval for parts of its portfolio most likely to pass approval tests
The IMA map: charting market risk capital under Basel 2.5
The current market risk framework refuses to be superseded. Risk.net dissects banks’ disclosures to explore how trading book capital requirements have evolved
JP Morgan’s equity VAR hit GFC levels in March
Bank blames now-matured client position for temporary risk surge
JP Morgan’s VAR limits blown twice during haywire Q1
Breaches add to the two regulatory backtesting exceptions sustained the previous quarter
EU edges closer to calming FRTB fund-linked fray
Dealers say temporary solution is a step in the right direction but won’t fully resolve all issues
SVAR surges gird Europe’s trading books in H2 2024
UniCredit and UBS lead pack with hottest gauges in half a decade
JP Morgan’s equity and commodity VAR soar to five-year highs
Trading risk gauges jump 150% and 190% amid Q1 trading flurry
Tariff turbulence piles pressure on banks’ VAR models
Backtesting breaches start to mount, but too early to tell if regulatory intervention needed