UK Treasury urged to allow failed energy firms to hedge
Bulb can’t buy wholesale electricity and gas more than two weeks in advance, leaving it exposed to price hikes
One-week-ahead electricity price forecasting using weather forecasts, and its application to arbitrage in the forward market: an empirical study of the Japan Electric Power Exchange
This paper constructs a model using weekly weather forecasts for forecasting week-ahead average electricity prices and applies it to an arbitrage strategy in the forward market.
Energy Risk Commodity Rankings: firms provide a lifeline in choppy waters
Winners of the 2021 Energy Risk Commodity Rankings supported clients in unprecedented times to be voted counterparties of choice
Efficient representation of supply and demand curves on day-ahead electricity markets
The authors model the supply and demand curves of electricity day-ahead auctions in a parsimonious way by building an appropriate algorithm to present the information about electricity prices and demand with far fewer parameters than the existing…
The selection of predictive variables in aggregate hydroelectric generation models
This paper provides a method to identify the best predictive variables and the appropriate predictive indexes for an aggregate hydropower storage forecasting model. To this end, we use an entropy-based approach.
Power surge: the value of investing in renewables
Energy market expert investigates ways to forecast future power prices and capture rates in order to value renewables PPAs
Power surge: the evolution of PPAs
Energy industry expert looks at key developments in the power purchase agreements market
A simulation-based model for optimal demand response load shifting: a case study for the Texas power market
This paper describes a case study of analyzing DR load-shifting strategies for a retail electric provider for the Texas (ERCOT) market using a Monte Carlo simulation with stochastic loads and settlement prices.
The risk markup of intermittent renewable supply in German electricity forward markets
This paper presents an empirical analysis of how power shocks resulting from intermittent renewables affect the forecast error of the forward premium in German electricity markets.
A new approach to evaluating the cost-efficiency of complex hedging strategies: an application to electricity price–volume quanto contracts
In this paper, the authors propose a new hedging assessment model, the economic value of the incremental expected shortfall (EVIES), from a cost-efficiency perspective.
Transaction cost analysis of digital innovation governance in the UK energy market
The latest online early paper in our special issue on blockchain enabled energy markets
Podcast: Kaminski on lessons from commodity market defaults
Professor Vince Kaminski analyses Nasdaq and PJM defaults
Energy Risk Commodity Rankings: the return of geopolitical risk
Geopolitical tensions introduced extreme volatility to many commodity markets in 2018, while environmental markets began to take off
Improving the Brazilian electricity market: how to replace the centralized dispatch by decentralized market-based bidding
This paper proposes replacing the Energy Reallocation Mechanism with a bid- based short-term market called the virtual reservoir model.
UK balancing market opening up to industrials
Will efforts to open UK balancing market garner interest beyond suppliers and aggregators?
Power traders slam Spain’s mooted plant closure rules
Tougher closure criteria would distort power prices and harm functioning of the market, say traders
Intraday power storage and demand optionality
George Levy discusses the value of intraday power storage and demand optionality in UK power contracts
Falling margins force energy firms to expand data use
Verification and model challenges arise as volatility and margins dry up
Barriers for district heating as a source of flexibility for the electricity system
In this paper, the authors investigate the barriers to including DH as a flexible resource for the electricity market in Denmark, Norway and Sweden.
Uniper’s Khan on risk transformation and green energy
Novera Khan: as energy markets change, risk management should be at the heart of business strategy
Brexit roils UK electricity firms’ carbon hedging plans
Utilities may unwind hedges amid uncertainty over EU emissions market
Battery storage to transform power market models
Technological breakthrough could rewrite the rules of power trading
Conference emphasises need for renewables response
Energy firms and regulators agree changes needed to market design
UK power market investigation overshadowed by EMR
Questions over future of vertical integration among energy firms