Credit risk
Output floor to drive Basel III capital increase at EU banks
About 40% of total Tier 1 capital surge due to limits on modelled RWAs
Wind-down of Deutsche’s ‘bad bank’ slows
German lender expects capital release unit to be €51 billion in size in 2022
SA-CCR proves a bitter pill for US banks to swallow
Dealers concerned new regime will punish some business lines with rise in risk-weighted assets
Client engineering of XVA
A client’s guide to reducing XVA in times of need
Capital cliff effect awaits EU banks as Covid support wanes
CET1 ratios have benefited from state intervention, but could drop sharply as measures expire
Weak EU banks may lowball Covid loan losses – ECB
Low-profitability banks provision less than their more flush counterparts
State-backed Covid loans have light capital impact – EBA
Average risk density of guaranteed loans was 18% at end-June
Aussie bank loan-loss provisions top A$11bn
Westpac absorbed the largest charge of the ‘Big Four’
Supervisory bank risk early warning modeling: an examiner’s first line of defense
The results of this paper show that robust forward-looking statistical models are superior to backward-looking assessments of supervisory compliance, which could lead to less regulatory burden when integrated into the examination process, particularly at…
The impact of data aggregation and risk attributes on stress testing models of mortgage default
In this paper, the authors investigate how data aggregation and risk attributes affect the development and performance of stress testing models by studying residential mortgage loan defaults.
Stress testing household debt
The authors estimate a county-level model of household delinquency and use it to conduct “stress tests” of household debt.
Regions deploys early-warning tool for credit risk
Risk USA: system alerted US superregional to impending defaults during Covid crisis
SME risks take centre stage at European banks
Lenders could suffer if government support for small business starts to wane
BNP Paribas’ RWAs shrank over €10bn in Q3
CET1 ratio climbed 20bp to 12.6%
Which EU banks hold the most SME exposures?
Danske Bank, Crédit Agricole, Group BPCE lead the field
UK banks took £2bn of loan-loss provisions in Q3
Barclays and HSBC increased reserves the most out of the top lenders
Lloyds lightens 2020 ECL forecast, but projects a gloomier 2021
UK banks expects full-year loan-loss amounts to come hit lower end of £4.5 billion–5.5 billion range
Model tweaks, asset cull helped Credit Suisse cut RWAs in Q3
Model updates took Sfr 2.5 billion off its credit RWA total
US election scenarios: meltdown fears if poll contested
Crowdsourced election scenarios show sharp falls and correlation breaks if Trump challenges results
IFRS 9 product of the year: AxiomSL
Asia Risk Technology Awards 2020
At Santander, Covid relief for €75bn of loans expired through Q3
Sixteen per cent of loans coming out of payment holidays have experienced a fall in creditworthiness
FX headwinds cancel out HSBC’s Q3 RWAs cut
Portfolio reductions reaped $10.8 billion of RWA savings
Barclays’ RWAs shrank on Q3 tailwinds, but loan failures loom
Decline in loan creditworthiness has added £9.8 billion to RWAs year-to-date
A FAVAR modeling approach to credit risk stress testing and its application to the Hong Kong banking industry
In this paper, a credit risk stress testing model based on the factor-augmented vector autoregressive (FAVAR) approach is proposed to project credit risk loss under stressed scenarios.