CCAR
WHAT IS THIS? The Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) is a stress test carried out by the US Federal Reserve. It aims to establish whether the largest banks have enough capital to cope with a severe economic shock, and vets their risk modelling practices – creating an annual cycle that has driven huge investments in staff and systems at many banks.
How banks game stress tests: the ‘shocking’ truth
Leaked memo exposes effort to swap out risky assets despite Fed’s push to end “window dressing”
Q&A: CFTC’s Behnam on tackling market risk in climate change
Commissioner wants to see new derivatives products to help mitigate climate threat
Post-CCAR share buybacks up 30% for US G-Sibs
Dividend up 18% on average following latest stress test cycle
EU stress tests not as tough as financial crisis
Projected GDP decline for Spain, Ireland and Italy milder than during the credit crunch
Fed stress test AOCI wallop softens in 2019
Fourteen participants see projected capital drain due to unrealised losses drop 63% year-on-year
Double jeopardy: CCAR and the countercyclical buffer
Some US regulators want to hike capital while times are good; banks say Fed’s stress test already does
DFAST market shock accounts for a quarter of big bank losses
Trading and counterparty losses hit $88.1 billion for banks subject to global market shock
Banks to Fed: reshape CCAR for peacetime
But Quarles deflates mood: banks using their own models for capital is “not under active consideration”
DFAST: JP Morgan accounts for one-fifth of projected losses
Bulk of losses would come from bank’s loan portfolio, projected to incur total losses of $60.3bn
CCAR: JP Morgan, Capital One adjust planned capital actions
Two banks see stressed capital ratios fall below regulatory minimums at first attempt
ABA scenario analysis project could aid CCAR comparability
Scheme to agree on common risk drivers could help Fed benchmark risk exposures, says JP op risk expert
Deutsche’s stress-testing models are surprisingly accurate
DB USA's projections precisely matched the Fed’s estimates for the second year in a row
US banks improve stress test projections
Gap between internal projections and the Fed's model outputs shrinks to 118 basis points
Banks hurdle Fed stress tests with ease
Aggregate post-stress CET1 capital ratio of 18 participants well above regulatory minimum at 9.2%
On foreign banks and CCAR, Fed tries something new
Fed is using risk factors, not just size, to decide which overseas firms to test
Goldman Sachs leads US firms on non-bank assets
Non-bank assets of G-Sibs equivalent to 32% of total consolidated assets
Fed study says CCAR has not toughened over time
Higher planned dividends and buybacks to blame for increased capital depletion under stress tests
Fed pushes big banks to calculate CVA for CCPs
Banks including JP Morgan and Credit Suisse told to quantify exposure to CCPs for annual stress tests
A generic stress testing framework with related economic shocks and possible regulatory intervention
In this paper, the authors develop and demonstrate a universal framework for supervisory stress tests of financial institutions that considers the probable dependencies among macroeconomic shocks and possible regulatory intervention.
US mid-sized banks may bulk up. (Is that safe?)
The crisis over a decade gone, the Fed’s ‘tailoring’ proposal will greatly relax rules on the mid-tier
CCAR disclosure sheds new light on modelling default losses
Regulator reveals loss rates for loans and credit cards, but banks say disclosures don’t go far enough
Data gap leaves six foreign banks in US regulatory limbo
New Fed FBO proposal relies on an indicator that banks have not yet been reporting
Central counterparty CVA
Matthias Arnsdorf proposes a method to calculate the counterparty risk related to CCP membership
Fed DFAST models project huge credit card losses
Losses of over 57% estimated for high-risk accounts