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A matter of principal

Developing term structure models can be tricky, as unknown factors and non-observable variables can affect futures prices. But principal components analysis is useful in tackling these problems. Here, Delphine Lautier uses PCA to pin down price movements, test their stability over time and to discover whether the maturity date affects price dynamics

The term structure of commodity prices describes the relationships between the spot price and futures prices for different delivery dates. It summarises all the information needed to hedge positions on the physical market, to undertake arbitrage operations or to support investment decisions.

Term structure models are applied in two important fields: dynamic hedging strategies - when

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Chartis RiskTech100® 2024

The latest iteration of the Chartis RiskTech100®, a comprehensive independent study of the world’s major players in risk and compliance technology, is acknowledged as the go-to for clear, accurate analysis of the risk technology marketplace. With its…

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