Risk Quantum/JP Morgan
BofA, JPM face 50bp increase in G-Sib surcharge
Surge in systemic indicators puts banks on track for 3.5% and 5% add-ons in 2027
Credit fears drive US banks’ IRC requirements to 2022 highs
JP Morgan, BofA lead with triple-digit surge in Q4
Market knee-jerks keep VAR models on their toes
With a return to volatility, increased backtesting exceptions show banks’ algos are stretched
US dealers tally most VAR breaches since mid-2023
Market turmoil in Q4 blindsides models at systemic and regional banks alike
US banks’ unrealised losses surge by $33bn in Q4
Led by JPM, Wells Fargo and Capital One, every major bank reported higher losses in AOCI, in reversal of previous quarter’s recovery
JP Morgan logs two VAR breaches as trading revenue slumps
Largest trading loss in Q4 reached 262% of the bank’s VAR limit, matching a breach reported at the height of the Covid-19 pandemic
Barclays, RBC end 2024 with record-high swaps margin
Both dealers see double-digit increases, but year sees least growth in at least a decade
UBS’s FCM allocates record-low own funds relative to client margin
Residual interest equivalent to just 1.9% of customer contributions for futures and options in November
JPM’s AFS holdings surge $72bn amid doubling unrealised losses
AOCI falls to its lowest in a year despite rate cuts
Barclays dethrones JP Morgan as largest OTC derivatives dealer
UK bank’s notionals surged 12.6% to $49 trillion in 2023, G-Sib indicators show
Substitutability cap keeps JP Morgan out of top G-Sib bucket
Uncapped systemic risk score grows to highest level on record
AFS Treasury holdings surge $67bn at US banks in Q3
JP Morgan leads growth, while Citi and Wells Fargo cut back
JPM, PNC bolster available-for-sale portfolios in Q3
Four major US banks add $119bn to AFS holdings