Risk Quantum/JP Morgan
Large US banks pile up CVA charges amid tariff shock
JP Morgan’s CVA risk-weighted assets saw largest jump in second quarter since Covid-19
Double VAR breach in Q2 adds $4.1bn to JP Morgan’s market RWAs
Sixth regulatory backtesting exception in nine months lifts the multiplier above minimum for the first time since Q3 2022
JPM’s reserves on undrawn loans rise 32% as Trump tariffs loom
Allowance on commitments nears $3bn as bank braces for stress among corporate borrowers
Morgan Stanley, Goldman to benefit most from TLAC and LTD reform
Fed’s eSLR overhaul slashes requirements for large US banks, ushering in lighter capital demands
JPM, Wells Fargo would net record AOCI windfalls in severe recession
Latest DFAST projects $58bn AOCI rebound on aggregate, with two banks driving over 60% of the recovery
JP Morgan’s loan losses loom ever-larger in Fed stress test
$90 billion in projected markdowns accounts for almost a fifth of total across 22 banks
US banks’ VAR shortfalls are wrapped in a black box
Public disclosures only allow crude approximations of loss size and timing
US G-Sibs set to reclaim $6.6trn in leverage room under eSLR reform
Replacement of fixed 2% buffer with variable add-on could cut requirements by up to 150bp
US G-Sibs’ non-bank assets surpass $6trn for first time
After plateauing for years, non-bank asset shares surged in 2024, led by Citi and JPM
US banks’ FX notionals hit record $66trn on forwards frenzy
JP Morgan leads record derivatives surge amid Q1 market volatility
Unseasonal Q1 surge lifts US G-Sib scores to record highs
Latest systemic risk scores for JP Morgan, Citi, Goldman and Morgan Stanley could lead to extra 50bp to their respective capital surcharges
Volatile funding flows add $21bn to US G-Sib liquidity buffers
Q1 jump in maturity mismatch add-on is largest on record
US banks held $2.2trn of USTs on eve of tariff turmoil
AFS holdings hit record $1.04 trillion days before Trump’s tariff announcement pushed Treasury yields higher