Risk
At some Chinese banks, NPL growth outpaces allowances
Bank of Beijing, Bank of China, China Merchants Bank and Industrial Bank see bad loans climb faster than set-asides
Interest rate vol triggered three breaches at CME in Q2
CCP’s interest rate swaps clearing unit reported its first initial margin shortfalls since Q3 2020
JSCC’s bond and IRS units hit by almost 200 breaches
Q2 volatility triggered some of the largest initial margin breaches ever reported by the CCP
LME member default fund contribution jumps 89%
Following record-breaking margin breach in Q1, the CCP plumped up its line of defence
RBC takes $296m hit on underwritten syndicated loans
The latest markdowns were higher than at the outbreak of the pandemic
ING’s market RWAs jump 30% as FX positions breach waiver limit
Increase arose from stricter EU rules under which FX exposures qualify as structural hedges
How Citi is handling topsy-turvy rates markets
Talking Heads 2022: Rate hikes and inflation have forced a rethink of the US bank’s hedging strategies
Dynamic spillover between the crude oil, natural gas and BRICS stock markets
This paper investigates the dynamic spillover between crude oil, natural gas and the stock markets in Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS).
JP Morgan’s VAR multiplier increases following Q2 breach
Citi also reported one backtesting exception but kept VAR-based market risk capital requirement flat
Net-zero pledges bring big unknown for credit risk
Uncertainty on how governments plan to curb emissions adds political dimension to credit quality assessments
Rabobank’s shaky loans up 35% on emissions cut plans
Bank says Dutch government proposal to reduce pollution from livestock farming risks making loans unviable
Goldman hoovers up $1.5bn of client margin in June
US bank bucks trend as top FCMs all cut required margin for futures and options trades
Allianz, Generali post €52bn in fair value losses in H1
Bond portfolio values crash as equities tailwinds fades
Commerz’s VAR multiplier ratchets up after H1 breaches
Bank dodged increase in market RWAs by rebalancing to a lower-risk trading portfolio
Citi, BNY Mellon escape Collins floor
Both banks return above the threshold after just two quarters
Future portfolio returns and the VIX term structure
The authors use a measure that captures the expected evolution of risk and generate results supportive of the concept that there are multiple facets within volatility risk that are priced individually.
Fed ‘tailoring’ led to larger, less capitalised regional US banks
Lenders freed from toughest requirements in 2018 grew balance sheets but saw capital ratios slip
FCM client margin for F&O hit all-time high in May
But concentration among top 10 broker-dealers continues to shrink
Russian corporates stashed cash at EU banks in Q1
Deposits from non-financial corporations increased 36%, while Moscow’s central bank cut balances by 28%
Expected shortfall model based on a neural network
This paper presents a model that combines ES models based on EVT and neural networks and meets all criteria for the validity of the Basel III standard.
Foreign banks outperform US peers on DFAST
Intermediate holding companies reported higher post-stress capital and leverage ratios under the Fed’s severely adverse scenario
Japan’s GPIF divests $1.5bn in Russia-linked assets
Pension fund cut exposure to country by 95% in the 12 months to March
Fair value gains give JP Morgan DFAST edge
Bank was only one to record bigger capital lift from AOCI by end of test’s horizon
Options expiry triggered $135m liquidity shortfall at NSCC
The CCP collected supplemental liquidity deposits six times during the first quarter