Quantitative analysis
Time for multi-period capital models
Several financial institutions use single-period models to determine their credit portfolio loss distribution, calculate their loss volatility and assign economic capital. Here, Kevin Thompson, Alistair McLeod, Panayiotis Teklos and Shobhit Gupta…
Trading down the slopes
The credit derivatives market is growing at an impressive rate, with the credit default swap (CDS) being the most popular instrument. This article is relevant for the trading of CDSs and bond portfolios. Mascia Bedendo, Lara Cathcart, Lina El-Jahel and…
An economic capital approach for hedge fund structured products
Hedge fund structured products are increasingly favoured by investors. Banks have been swiftly developing their commercial offers to meet this demand. However, the theoretical framework for the risk management of these products remains little explored,…
Unbiased risk-neutral loss distributions
Luigi Vacca introduces entropy maximisation (ME) to derive portfolio loss probabilities that are consistent with standard tranche prices on a credit default swap index. Tranche prices that are calculated using ME are free of arbitrage. A numerical…
Pricing risk on longevity bonds
Cutting edge: Longevity bonds
DrKW
Quant analysis
Cattolica Assicurazioni
Quant analysis
KBC Group
Quant analysis
Quant analysis by StructuredRetailProducts.com
Quant analysis
HSH Nordbank
Quant analysis
A Merton approach to transfer risk
Transfer risk is the risk that debtors in a country are unable to ensure timely payments of foreign currency debt service due to transfer or exchange restrictions, or a general lack of foreign currency. Although this risk is not extensively addressed in…
Variance swaps and non-constant vega
Variance swaps have gained in popularity due to their ability to provide investors with purevolatility exposure – a fairly stable gamma exposure despite changes in the value of theunderlying. The vega exposure of this product, however, varies linearly…
Time for multi-period capital models
Several financial institutions use single-period models to determine their credit portfolio lossdistribution, calculate their loss volatility and assign economic capital. Here, Kevin Thompson,Alistair McLeod, Panayiotis Teklos and Shobhit Gupta…
Smile dynamics II
In an article published in Risk in September 2004, Lorenzo Bergomi highlighted how traditionalstochastic volatility and jump/Lévy models impose structural constraints on the relationshipbetween the forward skew, the spot/volatility correlation and the…
Quant analysis by StructuredRetailProducts.com
Quant analysis
Caja de Burgos
Quant analysis
Deutsche Bank
Quant analysis
HVB
Quant analysis
Zurich Financial Services
Quant analysis
A fully lognormal Libor market model
In the Gaussian Heath-Jarrow-Morton model, all discount factors are lognormal under allforward measures. The Libor market model does not have this property – only the relevantforward Libor rate is lognormal under a given forward measure. However, all…
Back to the future
Current developments in exotic interest rate products push the demand for more sophisticatedinterest rate models. Here, Jesper Andreasen presents a new class of stochastic volatility multifactoryield curve models enabling quick calibration and efficient…
A Merton approach to transfer risk
Transfer risk is the risk that debtors in a country are unable to ensure timely payments of foreign currency debt service due to transfer or exchange restrictions, or a general lack of foreign currency. Although this risk is not extensively addressed in…
Thinking positively
How does one produce positive probability of default estimates if there are no default observations? Katja Pluto and Dirk Tasche propose a statistically based methodology to derive non-zero probabilities of default for credit portfolios with none or very…
The 'benefits' of smoothing
Cutting Edge: Economic Capital