Probability of default (PD)
Estimating credit contagion in a standard factor model
State-of-the-art credit risk portfolio models and the new Basel capital Accord consider only symmetric dependencies between borrowers in a portfolio, such as correlations. Recently, asymmetric dependencies have been introduced by Davis & Lo (2001), among…
A multi-state Vasicek model for correlated default rate and loss severity
Correlation between default and recovery has a major bearing on credit risk capital. Rahul Sen shows the effect can be modelled efficiently by allowing multiple loss states in the Vasicek framework. Heavy-tailed distributions result for arbitrary loss…
A multi-state Vasicek model for correlated default rate and loss severity
Correlation between default and recovery has an important bearing on credit risk capital. Here, Rahul Sen shows that the effect can be modelled efficiently by allowing multiple loss states in the Vasicek framework. Heavy-tailed distributions result for…
Uncovering PD/LGD liaisons
Francisco Sanchez, Roland Ordovas, Elena Martinez and Manuel Vega consider the presence of correlation between default and recovery through the familiar variance of loss formula. Business cycle dependence permits a neat decomposition of the variance…
RAPM popular, but doubts remain over reliability
Risk-adjusted performance measurement (RAPM) techniques are spreading rapidly across the risk management industry, but many still doubt how reliable the results are, according to an industry survey.
Web-based monitoring system targets requirements for mortgage lenders
Basel II has left many mortgage providers with additional requirements for enhanced and improved tracking of credit rating structures, presenting a challenge to some traditional monitoring systems.
PD estimates for Basel II
One of the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach is to prove that the long-run average probabilities of default they assign to their clients, which will be used as the basis for regulatory…
S&P warns banks against reducing capital too soon in anticipation of Basel II
Standard and Poor's will review, and possibly downgrade, issuers that will be found to have reduced their capital levels in anticipation of the effect of the new Basel Accord, also known as Basel II, according to Paris-based Scott Bugie, the rating firm…
Basel II revised default correlation values reflect industry experience, says Fitch
Basel II revised credit card default correlation values will be crucial guidelines to credit portfolio analysis under the IRB approach, says Fitch Ratings, a rating agency based in New York.
Basel II simplifies management of credit portfolios, says BIS
Basel II will facilitate early detection of the quality of a credit portfolio because it allows for progressive estimation of the probability of default (PD) of borrowers, according to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.
Basel II simplifies management of credit portfolios, says BIS
Basel II will facilitate early detection of the quality of a credit portfolio because it allows for progressive estimation of the probability of default (PD) of borrowers, according to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.
Basel II simplifies management of credit portfolios, says BIS
Basel II will facilitate early detection of the quality of a credit portfolio because it allows for progressive estimation of the probability of default (PD) of borrowers, according to the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision.
Quantifying operational risk
This is the fifth of Charles Smithson's latest series of Class Notes, which will run in alternate issues of Risk through to the end of 2004. Class Notes is an educational series, designed to pull together the threads of recent developments and thinking…
Sponsor's article > Basel II: change is good
Basel II is an opportunity for banks to modernize and upgrade their risk practices, policies and technology to manage risk in a holistic fashion. Alliance & Leicester, a UK based financial institution with assets of over €55 billion, took early advantage…
Basel II Alert - Highlight of Critical Changes
It has been more than six years in the making, but the final text of the Basel II framework has arrived. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published the text at the end of June to a mix response from the financial services industry.
Covenants: crisis of confidence
Financial covenants that rely too heavily on ratios are just not sophisticated enough to predict the likelihood of default, argues Sarah Woo. Loan originators must learn a trick or two from their colleagues in portfolio management and develop…
Covenants: crisis of confidence
Financial covenants that rely too heavily on ratios are just not sophisticated enough to predict the likelihood of default, argues Sarah Woo. Loan originators must learn a trick or two from their colleagues in portfolio management and develop…
PD estimates for Basel II
One of the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach is to prove that the long-run average probabilities of default they assign to their clients, which will be used as the basis for regulatory…
PD estimates for Basel II
One of the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach is to prove that the long-run average probabilities of default they assign to their clients, which will be used as the basis for regulatory…
CreditVantage launches new probability-of-default software
CreditVantage, a division of Fitch Risk specialising in credit risk software, has launched the CRS Corporate PD Model, a package that calculates the probability of default.
Mind the gap
UK mortgage lenders are grappling with Basel II. But there are still concerns about a credit risk management gap between the large and small lenders.
A-IRB is overly prescriptive, say US banks
Several US banks would like to see a full internal models-based approach to regulatory capital. According to their response to the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR) on the implementation of the new Basel Capital Accord, the banks said the…
'A good deal for regulators and banks'
Paul Kupiec's article in the August issue of Risk – Does CP3 get it right? – raised a number of concerns about the application of Basel II to retail portfolios.