Probability of default (PD)

Quantifying operational risk

This is the fifth of Charles Smithson's latest series of Class Notes, which will run in alternate issues of Risk through to the end of 2004. Class Notes is an educational series, designed to pull together the threads of recent developments and thinking…

Sponsor's article > Basel II: change is good

Basel II is an opportunity for banks to modernize and upgrade their risk practices, policies and technology to manage risk in a holistic fashion. Alliance & Leicester, a UK based financial institution with assets of over €55 billion, took early advantage…

Basel II Alert - Highlight of Critical Changes

It has been more than six years in the making, but the final text of the Basel II framework has arrived. The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision published the text at the end of June to a mix response from the financial services industry.

Covenants: crisis of confidence

Financial covenants that rely too heavily on ratios are just not sophisticated enough to predict the likelihood of default, argues Sarah Woo. Loan originators must learn a trick or two from their colleagues in portfolio management and develop…

Covenants: crisis of confidence

Financial covenants that rely too heavily on ratios are just not sophisticated enough to predict the likelihood of default, argues Sarah Woo. Loan originators must learn a trick or two from their colleagues in portfolio management and develop…

PD estimates for Basel II

One of the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach is to prove that the long-run average probabilities of default they assign to their clients, which will be used as the basis for regulatory…

PD estimates for Basel II

One of the main issues banks will have to face to comply with the new Basel II internal ratings-based approach is to prove that the long-run average probabilities of default they assign to their clients, which will be used as the basis for regulatory…

Mind the gap

UK mortgage lenders are grappling with Basel II. But there are still concerns about a credit risk management gap between the large and small lenders.

A-IRB is overly prescriptive, say US banks

Several US banks would like to see a full internal models-based approach to regulatory capital. According to their response to the Advance Notice of Proposed Rulemaking (ANPR) on the implementation of the new Basel Capital Accord, the banks said the…

Does CP3 get it right?

The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision's third consultative paper raises several complex issues, not least of which is: will it work in practice?

Overcoming the hurdle

How should capital be allocated to different business lines in a financial institution? ThomasWilson explores this question from an investor's perspective by constructing a statisticalmodel that measures the risk of individual business types.

Accord preparations: the rest is yet to come

While the debates have raged for months about many aspects of the proposed Basel II Accord, on some points there has been relative silence, in particular with regard to the seeming overreliance on statistical techniques.

Overcoming the hurdle

How should capital be allocated to different business lines in a financial institution? Thomas Wilson explores this question from an investor’s perspective by constructing a statistical model that measures the risk of individual business types. The…

Taking it slow

Hong Kong's banks are, for the most part, targeting the standardised approach outlined in the new Basel capital Accord, but it is hoped that this will act as a catalyst for the further improvements in risk management.

Sponsor's article > No cure through the cycle

Some have argued that the antidote for pro-cyclicality in the Basel II capital requirements is the use of 'through-the-cycle' estimates of default and recovery rates. David Rowe argues that, whilethis might mitigate the pro-cyclical impact of the Accord,…

Niche lenders brace for Basel

Banks with niche lending businesses are scrambling to assemble enough data to allow them to benefit from Basel II's most advantageous capital provisions. Gallagher Polyn reports on one successful initiative.

Op risk modelling for extremes

Part 2: Statistical methods In this second of two articles, Rodney Coleman, of Imperial College London, continues his demonstration of the uncertainty in measuring operational risk from small samples of loss data.

Data hurdles

The risk management rumour mill has been buzzing in recent weeks with the story that US banking regulators have told the senior management of the country’s 30 largest banks that they will be expected to implement the advanced internal ratings-based (IRB)…

Sponsor's article > Basel II and pro-cyclicality

The main argument for making regulatory capital requirements more risk-sensitive is to improve allocational efficiency. But this may lead to intensified business cycles if regulators fail to take measures to prevent such an impact.

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