Geopolitical risk
Top 10 op risks: Playing catch-up on geopolitical risk
Op risk managers downplayed prospect of a major conflict ahead of Iran war
A Hormuz tipping point may be days away
Agent-based model suggests delays and shortages likely to accelerate after four weeks
Ice CDS volumes surge as investors hedge Iran shock
Single-name volumes outpace indexes as investors target specific risks
Oil producers hedge rally with Brent shorts
Energy firms hedge oil spike as funds position for further gains
Short dollar bets make cautious return after safe-haven rush
Cautious USD-weakening positions re-emerge despite return of natural ‘dollar smile’ hedge
Banks urge EBA to delay risk benchmarking amid Iran conflict
Risk managers say hypothetical portfolio exercise clashes with severe market turbulence
Polytechnique’s Lehalle on bottleneck models and Hormuz closure
Iran conflict raises a now-familiar problem, says quant: how to predict which goods go where
Macro shocks prompt reset in Apac risk management
Leading institutions are rethinking stress-testing, liquidity management and market risk strategies to remain resilient in an era of uncertainty
Hedge funds stopped out on euro steepener amid Iran conflict
Gas price rises flattened 10s30s euro swap spread, forcing investors to cut positions
Managing geopolitical risk in petroleum markets
The authors demonstrate the use of futures and options derivatives to manage risk during extreme conditions in petroleum markets through an analysis of historical shocks to such markets.
Vendor spotlight: Credit risk management solutions, 2025
Crisil has adopted a platform strategy that brings together its full suite of credit risk, analytics and regulatory capabilities
Mob rule: populism’s rise pits banks against the people
Trump and fellow mavericks are reshaping politics, leaving banks scrambling to adjust to new and unpredictable risks
Validating bank risk models under trade war stress: a framework for adaptive stress testing with AI-driven calibration and cross-industry applications
Focusing on validating and enhancing risk models, the author proposes a comprehensive framework through which to stress test under trade war conditions.
AI spend in US could be good for bonds in Europe – finance chiefs
Development of AI is capital-intensive, but adoption less so, which could favour EU
We’re gonna need a bigger board: geopolitical risk takes centre stage
As threats multiply, responsibility for geopolitical risk is shifting to ERM teams
Macro shocks prompt reset in Apac risk management
How banks and other Apac market participants are responding to this new era of uncertainty amid the frequency and severity of macroeconomic shocks
How geopolitical risk turned into a systemic stress test
Conflict over resources is reshaping markets in a way that goes beyond occasional risk premia
EBA supports global op risk taxonomy, but it won’t happen soon
New EU framework designed to ease adoption by banks; other jurisdictions have different priorities
Macro shocks force risk reset in Asia
Measuring, managing and responding to geopolitical uncertainty and volatility
New EBA taxonomy could help integrate emerging op risks
Extra loss flags will allow banks to track transversal risks like geopolitics and AI, say experts
Trump’s LatAm gambit spurs FX hedging rush
Venezuela op boosts risk reversals as investors look to protect carry trades