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Credit derivatives

A state of flux

Efforts to improve the risk architecture for the derivatives business in Asia appear more muted than elsewhere, with many regulators in the region taking a wait-and-see approach towards central counterparty. But, as Duncan Wood reports, there are some…

Credit spread shocks: how big and how often?

The second half of 2007 saw violent moves in credit spreads. In the fallout, there has been much discussion about how to estimate the probabilities of these severe events, but few conclusions have been obtained beyond the fact that historical data is…

Gamma loss and prepayment

Peter Jackel presents a model for the dynamics of fractional notional losses and prepayments on asset-backed securities for the valuation and risk management of derivatives, including waterfall structures and other structured debt obligations on bespoke…

Let's jump together: pricing credit derivatives

Joao Garcia, Serge Goossens and Wim Schoutens introduce a dynamic multivariate jump-driven model for credit spreads. The model parameters come from a calibration on swaptions and a correlation-matching procedure. The authors apply the model to credit…

Explaining the Levy base correlation smile

Joao Garcia and Serge Goossens look at base expected loss at maturity both in the Gaussian copula and Levy-based models, and link it to base correlation in these frameworks. They report on the existence of smile in both base correlation curves and…

A trick of the credit tail

Leveraged super-senior (LSS) trades represent a mechanism for packaging senior credit risk. Many LSS structures have been issued to date and yet there seems to be no formal pricing approach. In this article, Jon Gregory discusses the valuation of LSS…

Market-implied Archimedean copulas

Computations of implied copulas are a central element in producing loss distributions of bespoke portfolios and pricing their tranches. This process is made feasible by the availability of index tranche pricing data. Luigi Vacca shows how it is possible…

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