Explaining the Correlation in Basel II: Derivation and Evaluation

Christian Bluhm and Ludger Overbeck

Contents
1.

Development and Validation of Key Estimates for Capital Models

2.

Explaining the Correlation in Basel II: Derivation and Evaluation

3.

Explaining the Credit Risk Elements in Basel II

4.

Loss Given Default and Recovery Risk: From Basel II Standards to Effective Risk Management Tools

5.

Assessing the Validity of Basel II Models in Measuring Risk of Credit Portfolios

6.

Measuring Counterparty Credit Risk for Trading Products under Basel II

7.

Implementation of an IRB-Compliant Rating System

8.

Stress Tests of Banks’ Regulatory Capital Adequacy: Application to Tier 1 Capital and to Pillar 2 Stress Tests

9.

Advanced Credit Model Performance Testing to Meet Basel Requirements: How Things Have Changed!

10.

Designing and Implementing a Basel II Compliant PIT–TTC Ratings Framework

11.

Basel II in the Light of Moody’s KMV Evidence

12.

Basel II Capital Adequacy Rules for Retail Exposures

13.

IRB-Compliant Models in Retail Banking

14.

Basel II Capital Adequacy Rules for Securitisations

15.

Regulatory Priorities and Expectations in the Implementation of the IRB Approach

16.

Market Discipline and Appropriate Disclosure in Basel II

17.

Validation of Banks’ Internal Rating Systems – A Supervisory Perspective

18.

Rebalancing the Three Pillars of Basel II

19.

Implementing a Basel II Scenario-Based AMA for Operational Risk

20.

Loss Distribution Approach in Practice

21.

An Operational Risk Rating Model Approach to Better Measurement and Management of Operational Risk

22.

Constructing an Operational Event Database

23.

Insurance and Operational Risk

INTRODUCTION

The implementation of correlation in the new regulatory capital framework has its roots in credit portfolio models such as CreditMetrics and the KMV model. In such models, correlation quantifies the linear dependence between obligors in a credit portfolio. There are basically two types of correlation applied, namely the asset correlation, quantifying the dependence between obligor’s asset-value processes, and the default correlation, as a measure of dependence between binary default events. In realistic credit risk models, default correlations live at a much smaller order of magnitude than asset correlations. In the new Basel Capital Accord, asset correlation as an input parameter in the basic risk weight formula constitutes an important driver of regulatory capital. This motivates a closer look at the correlation concept underlying the new Capital Accord.

DERIVATION OF CORRELATIONS IN BASEL II

The new Basel Capital Accord (see BCBS 2006), often called “Basel II”, is issued from the Basel Committee of Banking Supervision headquartered in the Bank of International Settlement (BIS) in Basel, Switzerland. Over recent years, regulators from many countries as well as

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