US midterm election scenarios: a fright after Halloween

Republican control of Congress could deal “a sharp shock to markets”, analysis suggests

This article is part of’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises. Click here to download a PDF of the full results.

Halloween may be over, but the markets could be in for another scare next week when the US holds its midterm Congressional elections.

Current polling suggests the Republicans are on track to win a majority in the House of Representatives. And while there is more uncertainty over the outcome in the Senate, aggregators at press time suggest the Democrats will

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