North America
JPM, Wells Fargo would net record AOCI windfalls in severe recession
Latest DFAST projects $58bn AOCI rebound on aggregate, with two banks driving over 60% of the recovery
JP Morgan’s loan losses loom ever-larger in Fed stress test
$90 billion in projected markdowns accounts for almost a fifth of total across 22 banks
Seven banks fall short of full capital buffers in DFAST 2025
DB USA posts largest gap, with four G-Sibs also dipping below their full requirements
FCM swaps margin climbs to record $173bn
Barclays, Bank of America and Royal Bank of Canada post all-time highs
US G-Sibs set to reclaim $6.6trn in leverage room under eSLR reform
Replacement of fixed 2% buffer with variable add-on could cut requirements by up to 150bp
NY Fed’s push for repo haircuts gets a tepid response
New risk management standards could make it harder to finance US Treasury purchases
Hedge funds scale back steepener positions as risks rise
Uncertainties around US Treasury issuance and timing of rate cuts see investors trim ‘consensus’ trade
US G-Sibs’ non-bank assets surpass $6trn for first time
After plateauing for years, non-bank asset shares surged in 2024, led by Citi and JPM
High leverage in US REITs raises red flags, says FSB
Non-bank CRE investors at risk from falling prices and refinancing crunch
For variation margin payments, cash is no longer king
Dealers are being pressed to accept corporate bonds and even equities as collateral for non-cleared trades
Global OTC derivatives jump €72trn in 2024
Europe, UK, Canada and China hit record highs, while US banks pull back
US banks’ FX notionals hit record $66trn on forwards frenzy
JP Morgan leads record derivatives surge amid Q1 market volatility
The VAR-centric models that never were
Often spotlighted, rarely dominant – VAR plays a surprisingly small role in most IMA stacks
Deutsche Bank casts a cautious eye towards agentic AI
Risk Live: “An AI worker is something that is really buildable,” says innovation and AI head
OCC payment obligations hit record in Q1
Liquid resources up 6.5% as liquidity risk grows to new highs
BoE official plays down fears of global regulatory fragmentation
Risk Live: UK expects close co-operation with US, while others express concern over Basel III endgame
Deutsche Bank exec urges EU to consider competitiveness
As global rules diverge, pressure mounts on bloc to ensure reforms don’t hold back its banking sector
Unseasonal Q1 surge lifts US G-Sib scores to record highs
Latest systemic risk scores for JP Morgan, Citi, Goldman and Morgan Stanley could lead to extra 50bp to their respective capital surcharges
CME suffers longest op failures in seven years
Outages totalled over 13 hours in 12-month period
Volatility fuels record growth in CDCC’s default fund
Skin in the game increase overshadowed by member contribution spike in Q1
Ice US incurs $644m hypothetical stress loss shortfall
Double-member default in worst-case scenario would have overwhelmed CCP’s default fund
Wells Fargo’s seven-year freeze sees rivals surge ahead
Risk density and loan growth lagged as Fed enforced asset cap
Repo facility preferred over discount window, SFOs say
Bank officers shun Fed lending facility amid persistent stigma
SEC faces debate over possible cull of cyber security rules
Lobby groups pushing for regulator to roll back disclosures, but investors take a different view