Ukraine nuclear scenarios: black enough for you?
A nuclear strike on Ukraine would open the door to the pit; our readers guessed how markets would fare, with surprising results
This article is part of Risk.net’s series of crowdsourced scenario-generation exercises. Click here to download a pdf of the full results.
Earlier editions of Risk.net’s scenario exercises have surprised participants with the severity of some of the possible outcomes. In our latest – and bleakest – scenario, the surprise for some is that the computed outcomes are so mild.
More than 50 readers
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@risk.net or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.risk.net/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@risk.net to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@risk.net
More on Risk management
The SaaSpocalypse shows private markets need risk models
Investors have little idea how bad the losses in private credit are going to be
Crisis? Which crisis? How ECB stress test failed to see Strait
Banks were told to design geopolitical shock scenarios, but some focused mainly on tariffs
G-Sib capital surcharge: how indexing and averaging alter incentives
Capital risk strategist anticipates Basel III endgame impact on US big-bank behaviour
The race to model private market risks
BlackRock maps holdings to risk factors; competitors aim to get the best from statistical methods
Doubts linger over start date for 24-hour US stock trading
NSCC will be ready in June, but questions remain over corporate actions and circuit breakers
Waiting for the light: what’s stalling European equity markets?
Esma says EU market has a structural problem, but the focus on lit vs dark trading overlooks post-trade issues
ECC risk chief says Iran crisis will not delay VAR transition
Incorporating 2022 Ukraine shock ensured new margin model is robust in face of energy volatility
The quiet force steering prediction platforms to regulation
Former Cantor Futures president Richard Jaycobs warns on growth prospects for ‘zero-sum’ market