Original research
An operational risk capital model based on the loss distribution approach
In this paper, the author constructs a capital model for operational risk based on the observation that operational losses can, under a certain dimensional transformation, converge into a single, universal distribution.
Consumer risk appetite, the credit cycle and the housing bubble
In this paper, we explore the role of consumer risk appetite in the initiation of credit cycles and as an early trigger of the US mortgage crisis.
Importance sampling applied to Greeks for jump–diffusion models with stochastic volatility
In this paper, the authors develop a procedure to reduce the variance when numerically computing the Greeks obtained via Malliavin calculus for jump–diffusion models with stochastic volatility.
Impact of D-vine structure on risk estimation
In this paper, a sensitivity analysis using pair–copula decomposition of multivariate dependency models is performed on estimates of value-at-risk (VaR) and conditional value-at-risk (CVaR).
Credit default prediction using a support vector machine and a probabilistic neural network
In this study, the authors address the fact that the ranking of classifiers varies for different criteria with measures under different circumstances, by proposing the simultaneous application of support vector machine and probabilistic neural network …
Smoothing algorithms by constrained maximum likelihood: methodologies and implementations for Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review stress testing and International Financial Reporting Standard 9 expected credit loss estimation
In this paper, the author proposes smoothing algorithms that are based on constrained maximum likelihood for rating-level PD and for rating migration probability.
Modeling very large losses
In this paper, the author presents a simple probabilistic model for aggregating very large losses into a loss collection.
Pricing multivariate barrier reverse convertibles with factor-based subordinators
In this paper, the authors study factor-based subordinated Lévy processes in their variance gamma (VG) and normal inverse Gaussian (NIG) specifications, and focus on their ability to price multivariate exotic derivatives.
Hybrid finite-difference/pseudospectral methods for the Heston and Heston–Hull–White partial differential equations
In this paper, the authors propose a hybrid spatial finite-difference/pseudospectral discretization for European option-pricing problems under the Heston and Heston–Hull–White models.
The CoCVaR approach: systemic risk contribution measurement
In this paper, the authors propose a measure for systemic risk, CoCVaR, the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) of the financial system conditional on an institution being in financial distress.
Genetic algorithm-based portfolio optimization with higher moments in global stock markets
This paper investigates the distributional characteristics of stock market returns and analyzes the significance of higher moments.
Monitoring transmission of systemic risk: application of partial least squares structural equation modeling in financial stress testing
This paper illustrates how the transmission of systemic risk from shadow banking to the regulated banking sector can be modeled using partial least squares structural equation modeling in an effort to help regulators better monitor and manage contagion.
Debt, information asymmetry and bankers on board
This paper contributes to the financial networks literature by providing evidence that well-connected bankers on the boards of directors of nonfinancial firms reduce information asymmetry between credit markets and firms.
News-sentiment networks as a company risk indicator
This paper defines an algorithm for measuring sentiment-based network risk, to understand the relationship between news sentiment and company stock price movements, and to better understand connectivity among companies.
Risk-averse dynamic arbitrage in illiquid markets
This paper introduces the concept of risk-averse dynamic arbitrage using a general time-consistent dynamic risk measure and a risk-aversion threshold level.
Identifying patterns in the bank–sector credit network of Spain
In this paper, the authors study the topological and structural properties of the bank–sector credit network of Spain over the period 1997–2007.
International and temporal diversifications: the best of both worlds?
In this paper, the authors focus on seven stock market indexes: two US, three European, one emerging and one Japanese. They select different pairs of markets and, with the help of wavelets, decompose these series at different timescales.
Underperforming performance measures? A review of measures for loss given default models
This paper reviews the ways of measuring the performance of LGD models that have been previously used in the literature and also suggests some new measures.
A central limit theorem formulation for empirical bootstrap value-at-risk
In this paper, the importance of the empirical bootstrap (EB) in assessing minimal operational risk capital is discussed, and an alternative way of estimating minimal operational risk capital using a central limit theorem (CLT) formulation is presented.
Tail dependence in small samples: from theory to practice
In this paper, the authors study tail dependence by defining the conditions required for all the methods used to perform and to quantify their efficiency and accuracy.
Model risk in the Fundamental Review of the Trading Book: the case of the Default Risk Charge
This paper assesses the model risk associated with the copula choice for the calculation of the Default Risk Charge (DRC) measure.
Statistics of VIX futures and their applications to trading volatility exchange-traded products
In this paper, the authors study the dynamics of Chicago Board Options Exchange volatility index (VIX) futures and exchange-traded notes (ETNs)/exchange-traded funds (ETFs).
The validation of filtered historical value-at-risk models
In this paper, the authors examine the problem of validating and calibrating FHS VaR models, focussing in particular on the Hull and White (1998) approach with EWMA volatility estimates, given its extended use in the industry.
The Nordic/Baltic spot electric power system price: univariate nonlinear impulse-response analysis
This paper studies the characteristics of the conditional mean and volatility of daily price movements of the system price for the Nordic/Baltic one-day-ahead spot electric power market.