Journal of Credit Risk
ISSN:
1755-9723 (online)
Editor-in-chief: Linda Allen and Jens Hilscher
About this journal
With the adoption of machine learning and artificial intelligence in financial institutions, credit analysis methodologies and applications are rapidly evolving.
The Journal of Credit Risk is at the forefront in tackling the many issues and challenges posed by these novel technologies both in and out of periods of financial crisis. Topics include fintech, liquidity risk and the connection to credit risk, the valuation and hedging of credit products, and the promotion of greater understanding in the area of credit risk theory and practice.
The Journal of Credit Risk considers submissions in the form of research papers and technical reports on, but not limited to, the following topics.
- Modeling and management of portfolio credit risk.
- Recent advances in parameterizing credit risk models: default probability estimation, copulas and credit risk correlation, recoveries and loss given default, collateral valuation, loss distributions and extreme events.
- The pricing and hedging of credit derivatives.
- Structured credit products and securitizations, eg, collateralized debt obligations, synthetic securitizations, credit baskets, etc.
- Machine learning and artificial intelligence.
- Credit risk implications of blockchain, crypto currencies and fintech firms.
- Measuring, managing and hedging counterparty credit risk.
- Credit risk transfer techniques.
- Liquidity risk and extreme credit events.
- Regulatory issues, such as Basel II and III, internal ratings systems, credit-scoring techniques and credit risk capital adequacy.
Abstracting and Indexing: Scopus; Web of Science - Social Science Index; EconLit; Excellence Research Australia; Econbiz; and Cabell’s Directory
Journal Metrics:
Journal Impact Factor: 0.3
5-Year Impact Factor: 0.5
CiteScore: 1.1
Latest papers
A three-factor hazard rate model for single-name credit default swap pricing
The authors propose a reduced-form model in which the evolution of the risk-neutral hazard rate is driven by three risk factors.
Repo haircuts and economic capital: a theory of repo pricing
The author proposes a repo haircut model that will identify capital for repo default risk as the main driver of repo spreads and allow investors to settle at an optimal combination of the haircut and repo rate.
Merton’s model with recovery risk
By adding a correlated risk driver to Merton's model for corporate bond pricing, the authors model the empirically observed recovery risk premium.
How a credit run affects asset correlation
This paper analyzes how soaring demand in the lending market shortly before a financial crisis can affect one of the main parameters in the internal ratings-based approach: the asset correlation.
The loss optimization of loan recovery decision times using forecast cashflows
In this paper, a theoretical method is empirically illustrated in finding the best time to forsake a loan such that the overall credit loss is minimized.
On comprehensive balance sheet stress testing and net interest income risk attribution
In this paper the authors propose a framework for granular-level stressed net interest income calculation and profit-and-loss risk attribution.
A structural credit risk model based on purchase order information
This paper proposes a credit risk model based on purchase order information to address the deficiencies of monitoring methods that use only financial statements.
Bank-sourced transition matrixes: are banks’ internal credit risk estimates Markovian?
This study explores banks’ internal credit risk estimates and the associated banksourced transition matrixes.
Covid-19 and the credit cycle: 2020 revisited and 2021 outlook
This study continues the author’s examination and forecasts as to the impact of Covid-19 on the US credit cycle after one and a half years since the pandemic first began.
Customer churn prediction for commercial banks using customer-value-weighted machine learning models
In this paper the authors propose a framework to address the issue of customer churn prediction, and they quantify customer values with the use of an improved customer value model.
Does economic policy uncertainty exacerbate corporate financial distress risk?
This paper adds to the literature on factors driving distress risk and the economic consequences of economic policy uncertainty, and it provides a basis for enterprises to respond to changes in policies.
Incorporating small-sample defaults history in loss given default models
This paper proposes a methodology for estimating loss given default (LGD) that accounts for small default sample sizes.
Agency problems in multinational banks: does parent complexity affect the risk-taking of subsidiaries?
This paper empirically reviews the relationship between the geographical complexity of parent-groups and the risk-taking behavior of subsidiaries using a panel of data for Polish domestically owned and foreign-owned banks covering the years 2008–17.
Forecasting consumer credit recovery failure: classification approaches
This study proposes an advanced credit evaluation method for nonperforming consumer loans, which may serve as a new investment opportunity in the post-pandemic era.
A survey of machine learning in credit risk
This paper surveys the impressively broad range of machine learning methods and application areas for credit risk.
Review of credit risk and credit scoring models based on computing paradigms in financial institutions
This paper provides an overview of some prominent credit scoring models used in financial institutions and provides an insight into how the use and integration of popular computing paradigms based on NNs, machine learning, game theory and BDA in credit…
An interpretable Comprehensive Capital Analysis and Review (CCAR) neural network model for portfolio loss forecasting and stress testing
This paper proposes an interpretable nonlinear neural network model that translates business regulatory requirements into model constraints.
Three ways to improve the systemic risk analysis of the Central and Eastern European region using SRISK and CoVaR
This paper proposes three modifications to two well-established measures of systemic risk, SRISK and CoVaR.
Explaining credit ratings through a perpetual-debt structural model
This paper calibrates a perpetual-debt structural model (PDSM) by using Moody’s historical credit ratings.
Ensemble methods for credit scoring of Chinese peer-to-peer loans
This study aims to conduct credit scoring by focusing on a Chinese P2P lending platform and selecting the optimal subset of features in order to find the best overall ensemble model.